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今日分析

26

Mar 2026

美元在高位附近暂歇，降息押注降温

美元涨后回吐，USDX回落至99.576；期货押注12月不加息升至64.4%。中东与油价反复搅局，央行预期分化，美元卡99-100.30，随时一破定方向。

26

Mar 2026

日元走弱，油价压力加剧

日元连跌三天，USDJPY逼近159.5！油价反弹与中东紧张推升避险美元，日本进口成本飙升压制日元；若突破160，官方干预与波动风险同步升温。

25

Mar 2026

油价持稳于89美元附近，价格上涨加剧政策风险

WTI守在89.27美元高位反弹，供应受扰与地缘风险撑价。更大悬念：高油价若拖长，通胀预期升温，央行或更鹰派、延后降息，金融压力加剧。

25

Mar 2026

日经指数跳涨，油价下跌缓解市场忧虑

油价回落+中东缓和预期点燃反弹！日经225飙2.93%至53,784，Topix升2.5%；东京海上获巴菲特加持涨9.8%，软银与AI股领涨，后市盯油价与地缘风险。

24

Mar 2026

特斯拉因应Terafab计划走高，押注200亿美元芯片项目

马斯克抛出Terafab半导体厂蓝图，TSLA冲上381美元。2026年设备开支200亿美元另加码，瞄准2027试产、2028量产；利多AI版图，仍存资金与执行风险。

24

Mar 2026

油价反弹释放脆弱的市场平静信号

油价又飙了：WTI回升至91美元、布伦特重返100美元上方。霍尔木兹海峡受阻升温，供应吃紧各国释储节能，通胀与股市压力再来。

19

Mar 2026

随着宏观压力加剧，比特币回落

比特币跌回70,699，24小时挫逾5%引爆3.82亿美元多头爆仓！美联储偏鹰+通胀顽固压制风险资产，70,000成生死支撑，守稳才有望反弹。

19

Mar 2026

黄金在连跌后企稳

金价连跌6天后稳守4853附近小反弹；美联储暗示今年或仅降息一次，“高利率更久”压顶。中东紧张、油价走高撑避险，却推升通胀限制上行。

18

Mar 2026

美元走软，油价回落、风险偏好回升

油价降温、风险偏好回升，美元避险买盘退潮！USDX连跌至99.26，100关口受阻。焦点转向美联储及欧美日英央行会议，指引或定方向。

18

Mar 2026

油价在94美元附近暂停上涨，市场关注美联储决议

油价高位回调：WTI报93.83、布伦特102.28，涨势暂歇但非反转。霍尔木兹封锁与中东冲突续推风险溢价，市场转盯美联储点阵图偏鹰信号。

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