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今日分析

19

May 2026

日经指数下挫，科技股受英伟达拖累

美科技走弱拖累日经跌1.39%至60,604点，半导体获利了结；但GDP优于预期推升Topix与银行价值股。市场紧盯英伟达财报，决定AI股能否止跌。

18

May 2026

油价飙升，伊朗袭击风险再现

战争风险重回定价：特朗普强硬警告伊朗、传美以或重启打击，加上阿联酋遇袭升温供应忧虑，布伦特冲上111美元，WTI升破107美元，通胀压力外溢。

18

May 2026

道琼斯工业平均指数下滑，油价冲击打击风险偏好

油价飙破WTI 107美元、通胀升至3.8%再掀市场警报！美股期货走低，道指49,197跌0.47%，纳指期货挫0.8%；比特币回落至7.7万美元。

15

May 2026

日元走软，市场加码押注美联储将加息

日元跌破158.5、周恐挫超1%：美元走强叠加Fed 12月加息概率升至44%。日本批发通胀飙4.9%推升BoJ加息与160附近干预风险。

15

May 2026

油价守住涨幅，霍尔木兹海峡关闭令供应趋紧

霍尔木兹海峡仍关闭、商船遭扣押推升风险溢价，布伦特逼近107美元、WTI守102美元；IEA警告10月前恐严重短缺，油价涨势未完。

14

May 2026

美元走强，市场重燃对美联储加息的押注

通胀升温+美债收益率走高，美元指数逼近98.48，本周涨逾0.6%或创伊朗战以来最强。FedWatch押注12月加息概率升至31.8%，人民币连8日走强，紧盯特习峰会风险。

14

May 2026

甲骨文凭借 AI 订单积压支撑资本开支

甲骨文股价冲上189.98美元，Wedbush称AI资本开支有订单与长期合约撑腰，capex/RPO仅9%远低同业；但高通胀与利率偏高或压制估值续涨。

13

May 2026

英伟达股价攀升，中国谈判提振AI前景信心

黄仁勋随特朗普访华消息引爆市场，英伟达升至221美元；但中国营收几乎归零。5月20日财报料营收+79%、EPS+119%，政策信号成关键催化。

13

May 2026

以太坊在宏观压力加剧下测试2,300美元

以太坊冲关2,300再受挫：短线偏弱，需站回2,320/2,335才像反弹；失守2,250恐下探2,200。宏观risk-off与美国《CLARITY法案》审议成关键变量。

12

May 2026

布伦特原油走高，霍尔木兹风险再现

油价反弹，布伦特105美元、WTI 99美元；中东紧张与霍尔木兹风险溢价回归。美中会谈压制需求预期，API/EIA库存与OPEC+限产成短线关键。

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