by VT Markets
Oct 23, 2026
英镑兑走弱的美元走强。美元自上周四以来持续下跌，创下自2025年6月以来最长连跌纪录。美国国债收益率下滑至五周低位，进一步对美元构成压力；与此同时，英国政局稳定以及更为稳健的宏观数据对GBPUSD形成支撑。彭博报道称，英国财政大臣约翰·希利（John Healey）将不会上调资本利得税；更高的财政支出将转而通过提高银行业务收入相关税负来筹资，从而缓和市场对新财政计划的担忧。
借贷数据同样显示财政克制：政府9月借款规模为245亿英镑，同比增加7.7%，仅略高于路透调查预测的238亿英镑。劳动力市场与物价数据也强化了市场对英国央行进一步收紧政策的预期，推动GBPUSD升至五周高位：6—8月失业率由4.9%降至4.7%，工资增速由3.6%小幅回升至3.7%。CPI升至3.5%，创11个月新高；核心通胀由2.6%升至2.8%，服务业通胀由3.4%升至3.7%。期货定价显示，未来12个月基准利率或达4.85%，隐含加息幅度约110个基点。
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