by VT Markets
Oct 21, 2026
英国失业率降至13个月低点，同时平均薪资小幅走高，进一步强化市场对英国央行11月将政策利率上调至4%的预期。职位空缺同比下降5.1%，但实际与名义薪资保持稳定；油价升至5月以来高位，令货币政策委员会（MPC）面临的通胀压力持续。英国CPI将于明日公布，为利率预期提供又一项短期关键变量。
更稳健的英国宏观基本面与英国央行政策前景对英镑形成支撑，使英镑相对美元与欧元略占上风。持仓数据显示，CFTC空头敞口有所累积，可能面临空头回补风险；同时，年末季节性因素或将在下周秋季预算案公布后重新显现。技术位方面，关键支撑位在1.3270，阻力位在1.3400；欧元/英镑方面，支撑位在0.8393，其后为0.8370。
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