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by VT Markets
Oct 19, 2026
NZD/USD 在周初保持稳定，交投于 0.5660 附近。在中国经济数据表现较为稳健、对冲新西兰贸易数据疲软的背景下，汇价维持短期偏多格局。中国三季度 GDP 同比增长 4.5%，高于二季度的 4.3%，也高于市场预期的 4.4%；9 月社会消费品零售总额同比增长 1.1%，缓解了市场对国内需求走弱的担忧。
新西兰方面，9 月贸易逆差由 8 月的 15.4 亿纽元扩大至 19.7 亿纽元；商业 PSI 指数从下修后的 51 回落至 50.9。美国方面，美元延续偏弱基调；在通胀仍高于美联储目标水平的情况下，政策制定者在 9 月加息后释放观望信号，为 10 月 29-29 日会议前的政策路径增添不确定性。
从技术面看，NZD/USD 目前在 0.5630-0.5640 上方整理，RSI 位于 60 出头区间、MACD 维持正值；上方阻力关注 0.5660 及 0.5750 区域。若跌破 1.5130，则下方将依次指向 0.5590 与 0.5565。
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