by VT Markets
Oct 16, 2026
周四，美元/加元下跌近0.30%。尽管美国数据表现更为坚挺，使美联储进一步加息的可能性仍在，但美国国债收益率走低对美元构成拖累。受对债务融资的AI支出担忧影响、风险偏好降温，资金转向政府债券。汇价在下探两周低点1.4169后回升至1.4189附近交投。
9月生产者价格指数（PPI）好于预期：PPI环比上升1.3%、同比上升6.3%，分别高于预期的0.5%和5.3%；核心PPI环比上升0.7%、同比上升5.0%，也高于预期的0.3%和4.4%。零售销售在8月上修至增长1.3%后，9月增长0.8%。初请失业金人数为19.9万，略低于预期的20万，高于前值19.8万。
在CPI显示整体通胀为3.7%（预期3.6%）、核心通胀为2.6%（预期2.5%）之后，CME FedWatch定价显示：继9月加息25个基点后，市场隐含10月暂停加息，并预计到12月再次加息的概率约为90%；与此同时，加拿大政策利率今年迄今一直维持在2.25%。
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