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by VT Markets
Oct 15, 2026
美元指数（DXY）周三上涨0.69%，报102.90，创2025年4月以来最高水平。此前，9月通胀数据高于市场预期，压过了美联储近期关于“2027年无需再加息”的指引。整体CPI环比上涨0.6%，同比增速由3.4%加快至3.7%。核心CPI环比上涨0.3%，同比由2.4%回升至2.6%；其中，住房及业主等价租金成本上行，同时休闲、教育及二手车价格走高，而燃料与食品价格对整体通胀读数形成支撑。
利率预期迅速修正。Prime Terminal数据显示，10月加息的隐含概率由前一日接近22%升至42%，市场并计入2027年累计收紧54个基点。美国国债收益率走高，10年期升至5.251%，上行3.5个基点；2年期升至4.865%，上行近7个基点。市场焦点转向《褐皮书》、PPI、零售销售、初请失业金人数以及更多美联储官员讲话；技术指标方面，相关测算显示DXY约在102.87，RSI（14）为71.85，支撑位分别位于102.87、101.84及100.25。
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