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by VT Markets
Oct 15, 2026
新加坡第三季度GDP预估值同比增长5.4%，高于彭博一致预期的5.1%，并较第二季度上修后的6.2%有所放缓（此前公布为5.9%）。官方称本轮增长“覆盖面广”，全年增速料接近政府4.5%–5.5%预测区间的上沿，且不排除11月再次上修的可能。展望方面，AI相关需求与产能扩张预计支撑未来数个季度维持稳健动能，随后在2027年下半年趋于放缓。
政策方面，新加坡金融管理局（MAS）维持政策设置不变，逆市场对小幅收紧的预期。该决定意味着新元名义有效汇率（S$NEER）的升值路径保持不变，当局将其表述为“暂停”而非转向宽松。
市场方面，GDP与政策更新发布后，美元/新元（USD/SGD）波动不大，徘徊于1.2800附近。
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