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by VT Markets
Oct 14, 2026
EUR/GBP周二自数月低点反弹，触及自2025年6月5日以来最低水平后回升，背景包括美元与原油走软，以及德国9月通胀进一步上行。此番走势亦反映在连续两周不间断下跌后出现获利了结；技术研究显示，日线RSI处于超卖区间，且14日动量指标读数被拉伸并降至自2025年5月初以来最弱水平。价格此前已跌破0.8467的斐波那契支撑位（对应0.8222/0.8865上行区间的61.8%回撤），从而界定短线交易参数。
尽管出现反弹，日线指标仍偏空，意味着任何技术性修正反弹可能受限。盘面上，下行的10日移动均线0.8480被视为首道阻力，其后为0.8530（与20日移动均线及8月17日低点重合），阻力位还包括0.8543。支撑方面，首先关注0.8428，其后为0.8373（76.4%斐波那契回撤位）以及0.8355（2025年5月29日低点），另外亦提及0.8300。
除法国财政动荡外，市场亦提及欧盟更广泛的压力，包括能源形势，以及乌克兰与中东地区战争带来的不确定性。
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