by VT Markets
Oct 14, 2026
澳元/美元周二小幅走高，交投于0.6982附近，日内上涨0.33%。美国国债收益率回落拖累美元，同时澳洲联储（RBA）偏鹰派表态支撑澳元。美元指数（DXY）在周一触及102.61（为2025年4月以来最高）后回落至约102.25；10年期美国国债收益率在上周触及5.36%（为2002年以来高位）后回落至5.20%下方。收益率下行主要因油价小幅走低、AI相关股票抛售带动资金流向政府债券，以及空头回补推升债券买盘。
不过，油价仍维持高位，美国与伊朗僵局令中东供应风险持续存在，通胀担忧与更紧货币政策预期因此延续。市场焦点转向周三公布的美国CPI数据，为美联储10月27-28日会议做准备；CME FedWatch显示，市场预期本月利率维持不变，同时对12月加息的概率定价约为85%。
在澳大利亚方面，澳洲联储9月会议纪要确认一致同意将现金利率上调25个基点至4.60%，并指出需要及时行动以稳固通胀预期，同时强调澳元走弱可能推升进口通胀的风险。
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