by VT Markets
Oct 13, 2026
美元指数徘徊在102.00上方，接近年初至今水平，主要货币对在窄幅区间内交投。美国近期偏软的经济数据（包括8月PCE物价指数以及9月非农就业报告NFP），叠加美联储措辞偏谨慎，已令市场对短期加息的预期降温，目前市场仅计入本月小幅收紧的可能性。
市场注意力现转向将于周三公布的美国9月CPI报告，该数据预计将检验市场目前关于美联储维持利率不变的判断。后续走势亦可能受到美联储主席凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）讲话影响，交易员据此评估此次暂停是否会延续至本次会议之后，抑或为年内稍后再次行动的前奏；其中，12月被视为潜在加息窗口。
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