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by VT Markets
Sep 28, 2026
美元/日元在本周初吸引逢低买盘，亚洲时段上行至约157.75，回补了上周五自数周高位回落的部分跌幅。日本央行会议纪要公布后，汇价涨势得以维持，但整体仍主要由美元走势主导。美联储偏鹰派立场及能源驱动的通胀担忧使美国国债收益率维持在接近多年高位；此外，围绕美伊对峙引发的避险需求推动美元守在自7月29日以来的最强水平附近（该水平上一次触及为周四）。日元对日本央行7月会议纪要反应有限；纪要称金融环境仍保持宽松，企业正将更高的原材料成本向下游传导，从而支撑通胀。
在中东局势可能进一步演变之前，市场持仓维持谨慎；与此同时，市场关注北美时段稍晚美联储公开市场委员会（FOMC）官员的讲话。
从技术面看，汇价重新站上23.6%斐波那契回撤位，并在四小时图上受制于50周期简单移动均线下方运行；在该回撤位上方维持，强化了偏建设性的倾向。上方阻力位于周期高点159.08附近。下方支撑依次关注157.62、157.17，其后为156.71与155.98。
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