by VT Markets
Sep 23, 2026
据报道，日本央行周五对汇率进行“询价/核实”一度将美元/日元快速压低至157.0下方。此举表明，日本当局更可能是在关注日元在滚动的x日窗口内的波动速度，而非死守某一固定点位；否则将有可能在市场面前划出清晰的“红线”，反而更易引发测试。
政策分化仍是主导驱动。本月以来，美联储释放的鹰派信号强于日本央行，在此背景下，美元/日元仍存在进一步上行空间，向160.0回升亦与当前主导环境相一致。
与此同时，市场对干预的风险评估被称为处于高位。
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