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by VT Markets
Aug 27, 2026
日本央行副行长氷见野良三表示，央行应在根据经济活动、物价及金融状况调整货币宽松程度的同时，持续推进政策利率上调。他称，尽管日元走弱在推升全球企业利润的同时挤压了居民实际收入，但经济出现严重下行的风险已经降低。货币政策并非旨在引导外汇走势，不过汇率波动是影响经济增长与物价的因素之一，并可通过通胀预期等渠道发挥作用。他指出，短端至中端期限的实际利率仍为负值，金融环境依旧偏宽松，并将其解读为对经济的支撑。
氷见野强调，需要避免收紧周期启动过晚，从而导致通胀大幅上行、并在后续被迫快速加息的局面。他表示，政策重点应更偏向于前景与风险而非当前状况，需更高度关注物价上行风险，并以将潜在通胀稳定在2%的物价稳定目标附近为旨；通胀率超过2%并出现超调将对经济不利。
他还指出，全球对人工智能（AI）需求上升可能同时推升经济增长与物价，并警示市场的即时反应可能掩盖更广泛的政策含义。美元/日元下跌0.04%，报159.24。
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