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by VT Markets
Jul 19, 2026
ES 早盘盘前抛压一度将价格压至接近 5,470，随后买盘介入推动反弹，但约 30 分钟后反弹动能衰减，标普 500 亦难以将涨幅进一步扩大。纳指相对更为抗跌，但仍未能将 QQQ:SPY 或其自身的市场广度指标扭转至看涨区间。盘面显示市场具备反弹能力，但缺乏趋势性跟进。
文中称，半导体与存储板块在技术形态以及对财报与业绩指引的反应上均呈走弱态势，而软件板块充其量为横盘整理。尽管在 6 月通胀数据偏利好后，市场情绪倾向于认为短期内不会加息，可选消费股仍未能走强。防御性板块被描述为买盘承接良好；周五科技股短暂领涨之际，XLP、XLU 与 XLV 同步出现回落。
文章亦提及有关“一个非常火热的周末即将到来”的讨论，指向中东局势可能出现重大升级，并认为市场尚未充分计入该风险。
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