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by VT Markets
Jul 17, 2026
WTI 已连续第四个交易日横盘整理，周五欧洲早盘交投于79.00美元附近，市场关注美伊紧张局势的进一步进展，以及霍尔木兹海峡通行油流是否面临风险。此前价格已向上突破4月至7月跌势的23.6%斐波那契回撤位以及四小时图上的200期简单移动平均线（SMA），这使得当前走势更偏向区间内的整理，而非趋势反转。相对强弱指数（RSI）徘徊在59附近，而指数平滑异同移动平均线（MACD，12，26，9）仍处于零轴下方，显示短线动能有限。
若价格上破并站稳80.00美元这一心理关口，82.48美元（38.2%回撤位）将成为首要关注点，随后是87.25美元（50.0%回撤位）。进一步阻力位分别位于92.01美元（61.8%回撤位）与98.79美元（78.6%回撤位）。
下行方面，200期SMA对应的77.30美元构成支撑，其后为76.59美元（23.6%回撤位）。若跌破该水平，可能削弱当前偏多结构，并在更大区间内促使回调进一步加深。
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