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Monthly Archives: September 2026

美国ISM服务业支付价格指数升至72.6，强化市场对美联储利率“高位维持更久”的预期

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Written on September 3, 2026 at 6:24 pm, by josephine

ISM服务业价格支付指数8月升至72.6创高，通胀黏性强化，或促美联储延长高利率；短端美债承压、股指波动上行，美元走强预期升温。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国ISM服务业新订单激增，推升美债收益率并助长美元押注，市场重估美联储政策路径

Neon-lit replica of a $100 bill-shaped stack, glowing pink and blue on a dark surface.

Written on September 3, 2026 at 5:25 pm, by josephine

ISM服务业新订单指数8月升至60.9，需求动能显著修复，强化服务业韧性与经济扩张预期；美债收益率或上行、美元偏强，关注做空国债及周期板块机会。

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Categories: Live Updates

在干预传闻发酵之际美元走弱，CTA在美国非农就业数据公布前转为增持贵金属

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Written on September 3, 2026 at 5:24 pm, by josephine

汇率干预预期叠加沃勒偏鸽压低美元与利率，CTA贵金属转多推升金银钯。非农与通胀将成催化，期权把握波动，美元贬值担忧支撑金价。

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Categories: Live Updates

沃勒暗示若CPI降温，9月或维持利率不变；市场严阵以待波动，美元指数走弱

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Written on September 3, 2026 at 4:24 pm, by josephine

沃勒称8月CPI若续降，9月或按兵不动；若偏热不排除再加息，政策取决短期通胀。美元指数跌至99，期权与利率期货或迎二元波动交易机会。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国第二季度非农劳动生产率符合预期，市场对美联储利率前景趋于稳定，波动率押注出现转向

Written on September 3, 2026 at 3:24 pm, by josephine

美国二季度非农生产率年化升1.4%持平预期、回归长期均值；通胀与美联储政策意外风险下降。关注SOFR期权卖波动、标普铁鹰及短期限美元看跌配置。

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Categories: Live Updates

墨西哥8月消费者信心回升，提振比索前景并强化墨西哥央行降息谨慎立场

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Written on September 3, 2026 at 2:25 pm, by josephine

墨西哥8月消费者信心升至46.1并超预期，内需韧性增强；或缓解央行激进降息压力并利多比索。关注USD/MXN做空、MXN看涨期权及EWW看涨机会。

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Categories: Live Updates

在美元走软与收益率下行抵消加息忧虑之际，黄金反弹并逼近4,500美元

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Written on September 3, 2026 at 2:24 pm, by josephine

金价跌破4,300美元后受美元走软与美债收益率回落推动反弹至4,488美元；市场聚焦ISM与非农及9月加息预期，建议期权区间策略并强化对冲。

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Categories: Live Updates

全球债券收益率攀升，油价降温之际央行引导市场走向

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Written on September 3, 2026 at 1:24 pm, by josephine

数据清淡下债券收益率普涨、能源地缘成主线：油价冲高回落，美股反弹；亚洲日债牛市趋平。加拿大央行按兵不动但加息预期升温，印度外储创新高。

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Categories: Live Updates

在干预传闻升温之际，美元/日元走低；日本央行释放鹰派信号且美国就业数据疲软支撑日元

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Written on September 3, 2026 at 12:25 pm, by josephine

USD/JPY连跌至156.80，瞬挫触发再度干预预期；日本央行鹰派重定价叠加美国就业走弱压低美元。可配置短期看跌、跨式及长久期熊市价差捕捉波动。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国股指期货小幅走高，油价与美债收益率回落，ADP报告显示劳动力需求降温

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Written on September 3, 2026 at 11:25 am, by josephine

美股期货欧市小幅上扬，油价与美债收益率回落叠加ADP就业低预期提振风险偏好；市场仍定价美联储66%加息概率，聚焦初请与非农。

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