Monthly Archives: September 2026

美国JOLTS职位空缺不及预期，强化市场对美联储降息及收益率下行的押注

Open policy document on a neon-lit surface, with a pen poised to sign.

Written on September 1, 2026 at 6:24 pm, by josephine

美国7月JOLTS职位空缺727.1万低于预期，显示劳动力需求降温；市场或计入更鸽派降息路径，压低美债收益率、推升波动，利多黄金并拖累美元。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国7月建筑支出下降0.5%，强化市场对美联储提前降息的预期

Policy document with a pen resting on it, as if about to sign.

Written on September 1, 2026 at 5:25 pm, by josephine

美国7月建筑支出环比降0.5%显著低于预期，融资成本高企压制地产与非住建同步回撤；市场或重估增长与降息路径，利率衍生品及波动率交易机会凸显。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国ISM制造业PMI不及预期引发市场加大对美联储鸽派立场的押注，美元承压、美国国债走强

Modern building at night with pink neon vertical lights along tall glass towers in a dark sky.

Written on September 1, 2026 at 5:24 pm, by josephine

美国8月ISM制造业PMI降至54.6不及预期，扩张放缓引发市场转向谨慎；美联储降息预期升温，国债期货、美元空头、黄金多头及VIX看涨期权机会凸显。

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Categories: Live Updates

德国央行行长纳格尔称经济增长韧性犹存、通胀降温之际，G20就协调干预日元展开讨论

3D-rendered modern building model on a reflective surface, lit in purple and blue against a dark background

Written on September 1, 2026 at 4:25 pm, by josephine

纳格尔称核心与服务通胀回落、未见二轮效应，增长韧性延续；市场押注ECB宽松，利率下行交易与EUR/USD看跌价差、欧股期权布局机遇凸显。

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Categories: Live Updates

星展银行警告：印度央行或自2026年12月起连续加息，因通胀预测突破容忍区间

Glowing policy document being signed with a neon pen, with a neon stock chart in the background.

Written on September 1, 2026 at 4:24 pm, by josephine

警惕印度加息周期来袭：UOB预计RBI自2026年12月起连续两次各加息25bp，通胀或超6%且实际利率转负；策略建议做多1年期OIS付固定、做空中短债期货，并战术性看多卢比。

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Categories: Live Updates

在美联储鹰派言论提振美元之际，英镑/美元跌破1.3550，但上涨趋势仍保持完好

3D glowing pound sterling symbol in blue and purple on a dark backdrop.

Written on September 1, 2026 at 3:24 pm, by josephine

英镑兑美元跌破1.3550，受美联储鹰派预期推升美债收益率与美元走强。汇价仍高于100日SMA，宜布局短期期权看跌、长线看涨价差把握回调与反弹。

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Categories: Live Updates

日本10年期国债收益率触及3%，全球债券遭抛售且霍尔木兹海峡风险推升油价

Futuristic scene of a transparent robotic hand signing a neon-lit policy document labeled POLICY with a chart visible in the background

Written on September 1, 2026 at 2:26 pm, by josephine

通胀预期与国债供给共振推升全球收益率曲线陡峭化：日债10Y破3%领涨，美欧利率高企；霍尔木兹扰动抬升油价。建议债券空头、日元看涨、原油期权及波动率对冲。

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Categories: Live Updates

随着市场加大对美联储加息的押注，黄金跌至两周低位；霍尔木兹紧张局势推升油价

Stack of gold bars inside a transparent purple-tinted glass display case on a dark surface, lit with neon glow

Written on September 1, 2026 at 2:25 pm, by josephine

黄金受美联储加息预期升温、美元与美债收益率上行压制跌至两周低位；霍尔木兹冲突推升油价。关注4,350美元支撑，破位或下探4,267。

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Categories: Live Updates

欧元兑美元自1.1570支撑位反弹，市场权衡下行1.1550与上方1.1650阻力位

Neon-lit replica of a $100 bill-shaped stack, glowing pink and blue on a dark surface.

Written on September 1, 2026 at 1:25 pm, by josephine

欧元兑美元触底1.1573后反弹至1.1620，动能仍弱，日内料1.1595-1.1640震荡；中期下行风险指向1.1550，唯突破1.1650方缓解，长期目标1.1800/1.1850。

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Categories: Live Updates

随着油价飙升令美联储前景蒙上阴影，并对欧元兑美元在1.1600附近构成压力，市场静待JOLTS职位空缺数据公布

Neon blue oil pump jack with a stock market chart backdrop in pink and cyan hues.

Written on September 1, 2026 at 1:24 pm, by josephine

JOLTS周二揭晓叠加油价破85美元推升能源通胀，市场警惕“就业趋弱-降息”逻辑失效；欧元/美元承压1.1600，美联储鹰派升温，期权对冲需求上升。

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Categories: Live Updates

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