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Monthly Archives: June 2026

英国央行维持利率不变，通胀黏性不减令市场揣测下一步政策动向

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 4:39 pm, by

英伦银行按兵不动：利率维持3.75%压通胀，伊朗/美国协议降“第二轮效应”风险。通胀黏性令市场降息定价过激，建议卖SONIA期货、做跨式与买GBP/USD看涨捕捉波动与英镑支撑。

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Categories: Live Updates

英镑下滑至两个月低点，英伦银行按兵不动，美联储释放潜在加息信号

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 4:10 pm, by

英镑再受压！英银维持3.75%不动、通胀预估下调但有两票撑加息；对比美联储偏鹰提振美元，GBP/USD失守1.3200，期权布局看向1.3000-1.3100。

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Categories: Live Updates

荷兰合作银行：霍尔木兹能源冲击令欧元区增长前景蒙阴，欧元/美元反弹料受限

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 4:09 pm, by

欧元强势要结束？Rabobank警告霍尔木兹通胀冲击拖累欧洲增长，ECB或下调预测；升息预期已被计价，美就业强助美元，EUR/USD三个月看1.16。

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Categories: Live Updates

美联储立场坚定，美元重新与利差挂钩，测试12个月高位

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 3:40 pm, by

美元重新与利差挂钩，美联储“更久更高”预期推升美元测试一年高位；策略建议偏多美元与期权布局，并警惕强美元压制黄金、原油等商品。

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挪威央行维持利率在4.25%，释放进一步收紧信号，利率峰值料达4.55%

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 3:39 pm, by

挪威央行维持利率4.25%却放话或再加息，利率峰值上看4.55%。通胀顽固、油价强势支撑NOK；与ECB降息分化扩大利差，策略偏靠套息非追涨。

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Categories: Live Updates

英伦银行维持银行利率在3.75%，反对者推动加息，英镑走软

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 3:10 pm, by

英伦银行利率维持3.75%但暗示通胀回落、增长略强，英镑应声走弱。别只看偏鸽：工资与服务通胀顽固，或触发急转鹰派，买入GBP/USD波动率。

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Categories: Live Updates

英国央行维持利率不变，两名决策者支持降息，市场预期转向9月放宽政策

Transparent, glowing hand signs a policy document with a pen on a illuminated surface, a neon chart visible in the background.

Written on June 18, 2026 at 3:09 pm, by

英银MPC 7-2维持利率不变，鸽派异议升温却“按兵不动偏鹰”。8月降息概率跌破50%，9月更可能。英镑获撑、富时震荡，期权与备兑开仓成收益策略。

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Categories: Live Updates

英伦银行如预期加息，投票分歧暗示加息或已见顶

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 2:40 pm, by

英伦银行如预期加息、仍抗黏性通胀，但7-2分歧暗示利率峰值将近。英镑或“卖事实”走弱，FTSE 100承压；关注SONIA中段期限布局。

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Categories: Live Updates

英格兰银行维持基准利率不变，市场关注波动性、英国国债与英镑仓位动向

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 2:39 pm, by

英银按兵不动，利率维持5.25%符合预期，波动率回落。焦点转向通胀与薪资数据，夏季或继续观望；策略看富时卖虚值期权、做陡峭化，英镑偏强。

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Categories: Live Updates

美元与利差推动欧元/美元走势，联储在逼近12个月高位之际转趋不那么鸽派

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Written on June 18, 2026 at 2:09 pm, by

欧元/美元几乎变成美元指数镜像！美国通胀黏着、增长韧性令美联储更偏鹰，利差再度主导走势；EUR/USD逼近1.0550，或试探1.0500关口。

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