{"id":53010,"date":"2026-08-18T00:19:45","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T00:19:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/uncategorized\/%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%8d%87%e7%a0%b40-7100%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e8%bd%af%e4%bb%a4%e7%84%a6%e7%82%b9%e8%bd%ac%e5%90%91%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e5%b0%b1%e4%b8%9a%e6%95%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-08-18T00:19:45","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T00:19:45","slug":"%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%8d%87%e7%a0%b40-7100%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e8%bd%af%e4%bb%a4%e7%84%a6%e7%82%b9%e8%bd%ac%e5%90%91%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e5%b0%b1%e4%b8%9a%e6%95%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/live-updates\/%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%8d%87%e7%a0%b40-7100%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e8%bd%af%e4%bb%a4%e7%84%a6%e7%82%b9%e8%bd%ac%e5%90%91%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e5%b0%b1%e4%b8%9a%e6%95%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u78340.7100\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u8f6f\u4ee4\u7126\u70b9\u8f6c\u5411\u6fb3\u6d32\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7a7a\u5934\u4ed3\u4f4d\u6301\u7eed\u7d2f\u79ef"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD \u5df2\u4e0a\u63a2\u81f3\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u7a81\u7834 0.7100 \u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u7f8e\u5143\u60c5\u7eea\u8f6c\u8f6f\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u964d\u6e29\u3002\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7126\u70b9\u8f6c\u5411\u6fb3\u6d32\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u4e0e PMI \u521d\u503c\uff0c\u800c\u6301\u4ed3\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u671f\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u770b\u7a7a\u5174\u8da3\u518d\u5ea6\u56de\u6d41\uff1aCFTC \u6fb3\u5143\u51c0\u7a7a\u5355\u6269\u5927\u81f3\u7ea6 3.92 \u4e07\u5f20\u5408\u7ea6\uff1b\u5728\u524d\u4e00\u5468\u63a5\u8fd1 6,800 \u5f20\u6539\u5584\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u51c0\u53d8\u5316\u8f6c\u4e3a\u51cf\u5c11 -6,000 \u5f20\u3002\u672a\u5e73\u4ed3\u5408\u7ea6\uff08Open Interest\uff09\u7531 24.05 \u4e07\u5f20\u5347\u81f3 26.72 \u4e07\u5f20\uff1b\u6295\u673a\u6027\u66dd\u9669\u7531 -13.8% \u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3 -14.7%\uff1b\u56db\u5468\u53d8\u52a8\u7ea6\u4e3a -8,500 \u5f20\uff1b\u767e\u5206\u4f4d\u6570\u56de\u843d\u81f3 68.5 \u4e0e 80.4\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u56fd\u5185\u6570\u636e\u4ecd\u504f\u201c\u5206\u5316\u4f46\u4e0d\u5f31\u201d\u30027 \u6708 PMI \u7ec8\u503c\u663e\u793a\uff1a\u5236\u9020\u4e1a 52.0\uff08\u524d\u503c 51.5\uff09\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a 53.6\uff08\u524d\u503c 50.5\uff09\u30026 \u6708\u8d38\u6613\u4f59\u989d\u7531 5 \u6708\u7684 A$23.67 \u4ebf\u9006\u5dee\u8f6c\u4e3a A$19.29 \u4ebf\u987a\u5dee\u30022026 \u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63 GDP \u6309\u5b63\u589e\u957f 0.3%\uff08\u524d\u503c 0.9%\uff09\uff0c\u6309\u5e74\u589e\u957f 2.5%\uff1b6 \u6708\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u7ef4\u6301 4.4%\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u589e\u52a0 7.63 \u4e07\uff08\u524d\u503c\u4fee\u6b63\u540e\u4e3a 4.4 \u4e07\uff09\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f 4.3%\uff08\u6309\u5e74\uff09\uff1b7 \u6708\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e 0.6%\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u589e\u52a0\u503c 4.5%\uff1b6 \u6708\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u6269\u5927\u81f3 1,256.2 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff08\u524d\u503c 1,054 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u3002\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\uff1aCPI \u6309\u5e74\u6da8 0.5%\uff08\u524d\u503c 1.0%\uff09\uff0c\u6309\u6708\u8dcc -0.1%\uff1bPPI \u4e3a 3.5%\uff08\u524d\u503c 4.1%\uff09\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u8ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\uff08PBoC\uff09\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301 LPR \u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u4e3a 3.00% \u4e0e 3.50%\uff1b\u6fb3\u50a8\u884c\uff08RBA\uff09\u7ef4\u6301\u5b98\u65b9\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08OCR\uff09\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a2026 \u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u6838\u5fc3\u4fee\u526a\u5747\u503c\u901a\u80c0 3.3%\uff1b2026 \u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u6574\u4f53\u901a\u80c0 3.6%\uff0c\u968f\u540e 2027 \u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63 2.6%\u30012028 \u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63 2.4%\uff1b\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 4.5%\uff0c\u5e76\u5347\u81f3 4.7% \u4e0e 4.8%\uff1bGDP \u5206\u522b\u4e3a 1.4%\u30011.6%\u30011.8%\u3002\u6280\u672f\u9762\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6c47\u4ef7\u62a5 0.7109\uff0cRSI 65.6\u3001ADX 11.9\uff1b\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\u4f9d\u5e8f\u5728 0.7079\u30010.7061\u30010.7003\u30010.6940\uff1b\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u5728 0.7283\uff0c\u5176\u540e\u4e3a 0.7661\u3002\u6587\u4e2d\u5e76\u6307\u51fa 200 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\u7ea6\u5728 0.6930 \u4e0e 0.6940\uff0c55 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\u7ea6\u5728 0.7000 \u4e0e 0.7003\u3002<\/p>\n\n&#8212;\n\n<h3>\u7a81\u7834\u6f5c\u529b\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u52a8\u6001<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u6fb3\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u7834\u5173\u952e\u7684 0.7100 \u963b\u529b\u4f4d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u4e3a\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u201c\u5411\u4e0a\u7a81\u7834\u201d\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u671f\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u6f5c\u5728\u770b\u7a7a\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6fb3\u50a8\u884c\u504f\u9e70\u7acb\u573a\u4e0e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6c47\u4ef7\u52a8\u80fd\u6b63\u9010\u6b65\u7d2f\u79ef\u3002\u82e5\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u56fd\u5185\u6570\u636e\u7ee7\u7eed\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u5e03\u5c40\u4ee5 0.7200 \u4e3a\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff08call options\uff09\uff0c\u628a\u63e1\u4e0a\u884c\u5ef6\u4f38\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u6700\u65b0 CFTC \u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u51c0\u7a7a\u4ed3\u6269\u5927\u81f3\u7ea6 3.92 \u4e07\u5f20\u5408\u7ea6\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u672a\u5e73\u4ed3\u5408\u7ea6\u5347\u81f3 26.72 \u4e07\u5f20\u3002\u504f\u91cd\u7684\u7a7a\u5934\u6301\u4ed3\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u4e3a\u201c\u7a7a\u5934\u56de\u8865\/\u8f67\u7a7a\u201d\uff08short squeeze\uff09\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5229\u73af\u5883\uff1a\u4e00\u65e6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u51fa\u73b0\u6b63\u9762\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u5386\u53f2\u7ecf\u9a8c\u663e\u793a\u5728\u51c0\u7a7a\u66dd\u9669\u62c9\u4f38\u5230\u6b64\u7c7b\u6c34\u5e73\u65f6\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u504f\u9e70\u89e6\u53d1\u56e0\u7d20\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u5feb\u901f\u4e14\u5f3a\u52bf\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u4e70\u76d8\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u7a7a\u5934\u4ed3\u4fc3\u56de\u8865\u3002<\/p>\n\n&#8212;\n\n<h3>\u7b56\u7565\u8003\u91cf\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u6fb3\u6d32\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u4e0e PMI \u521d\u503c\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u97e7\u6027\u3002\u5728\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e8e 4.4%\u3001\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63 GDP \u4ec5\u6309\u5b63\u589e\u957f 0.3% \u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u82e5\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7d27\uff0c\u6fb3\u50a8\u884c\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u8feb\u5728\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u7ef4\u6301\u8f83\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u3002\u82e5\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u5f3a\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5c06\u4e3a AUD\/USD \u7ad9\u7a33\u5e76\u5ef6\u7eed\u5728 200 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\uff080.6940\uff09\u4e0a\u65b9\u7684\u6da8\u52bf\u63d0\u4f9b\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u5728\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u7b56\u7565\u4e0a\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u4e70\u5165 AUD\/USD \u98ce\u9669\u9006\u8f6c\uff08risk reversals\uff09\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u504f\u659c\uff1b\u5f53\u524d\u504f\u659c\u4ecd\u66f4\u504f\u5411\u4e0b\u884c\u4fdd\u62a4\uff0c\u4f46\u968f\u7740\u6c47\u4ef7\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u7ed3\u6784\u53ef\u80fd\u8fc5\u901f\u8f6c\u5411\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u9009\u62e9\u662f\u5efa\u7acb\u5728 9 \u6708 29 \u65e5 RBA \u4f1a\u8bae\u4e4b\u540e\u5230\u671f\u7684\u725b\u5e02\u770b\u6da8\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08bull call spreads\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u63a7\u5236\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u53c2\u4e0e\u6f5c\u5728\u4e0a\u884c\u81f3 0.7280 \u7684\u884c\u60c5\u3002\u82e5\u5168\u7403\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u8f6c\u5f31\u6216\u4e2d\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u53ca\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u53ef\u8fc5\u901f\u8f6c\u4e3a\u4e70\u5165\u77ed\u5929\u671f\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put options\uff09\uff0c\u5728 0.7000 \u5173\u952e\u652f\u6491\u9644\u8fd1\u5bf9\u655e\u53e3\u8fdb\u884c\u5bf9\u51b2\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u70b9\u51fb<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/trade-now\/\">\u8fd9\u91cc<\/a>\u521b\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5b9e\u8d26\u6237\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD \u7a81\u7834 0.7100 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