{"id":52868,"date":"2026-08-14T01:19:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-14T01:19:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/uncategorized\/%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%ae%88%e4%bd%8f200%e6%97%a5%e5%9d%87%e7%ba%bf%ef%bc%8c%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e5%91%98%e5%85%b3%e6%b3%a80-7100%e7%aa%81%e7%a0%b4%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%81%94\/"},"modified":"2026-08-14T01:19:00","modified_gmt":"2026-08-14T01:19:00","slug":"%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%ae%88%e4%bd%8f200%e6%97%a5%e5%9d%87%e7%ba%bf%ef%bc%8c%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e5%91%98%e5%85%b3%e6%b3%a80-7100%e7%aa%81%e7%a0%b4%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%81%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/live-updates\/%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%ae%88%e4%bd%8f200%e6%97%a5%e5%9d%87%e7%ba%bf%ef%bc%8c%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e5%91%98%e5%85%b3%e6%b3%a80-7100%e7%aa%81%e7%a0%b4%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%81%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u5b88\u4f4f200\u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5173\u6ce80.7100\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u91ca\u653e\u653f\u7b56\u4fe1\u53f7"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD \u6280\u672f\u9762\u4e0e\u5b8f\u89c2\u57fa\u672c\u9762<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/USD \u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u76d8\u6574\u9636\u6bb5\uff1a\u53ea\u8981\u6c47\u4ef7\u5b88\u5728 200 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\uff08SMA\uff090.6934 \u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u4e2d\u671f\u57fa\u8c03\u4ecd\u83b7\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u4f46\u591a\u6b21\u5728 0.7000 \u9644\u8fd1\u53d7\u963b\uff0c\u4f7f\u77ed\u7ebf\u8d70\u52bf\u7ef4\u6301\u5fae\u5999\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u65e5\u7ebf\u56fe\u4e0a\uff0c\u73b0\u4ef7\u62a5 0.7057\uff0c\u4f4d\u4e8e 55 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf 0.7005 \u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u5e76\u63a5\u8fd1 100 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf 0.7056\uff1bRSI\uff0814\uff09\u7ea6 58\uff0cADX\uff0814\uff09\u7ea6 10\u3002\u82e5\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u7834 0.7100\uff0c\u5c06\u5f3a\u5316\u4e0a\u884c\u8bba\u70b9\uff0c\u5173\u6ce8\u6c34\u5e73\u5305\u62ec 0.7088\u30010.7200\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u63a5\u8fd1 0.7280 \u7684 2026 \u5e74\u9876\u90e8\uff1b\u963b\u529b\u4ea6\u6807\u6ce8\u5728 0.7079\u30010.7278\u20130.7283 \u4f9b\u5e94\u533a\u4e0e 0.7661\u3002\u82e5\u56de\u843d\u5e76\u8f6c\u5411\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u5219\u7126\u70b9\u5c06\u56de\u5230 0.7056\uff0c\u5176\u540e\u662f 0.7005 \u4e0e 0.6934\uff1b\u66f4\u4f4e\u652f\u6491\u4f9d\u5e8f\u5728 0.6900\u30010.6833\u30010.6660\u30010.6593\u30010.6414 \u4e0e 0.6373\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56fd\u5185\u6570\u636e\u53cd\u6620\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u5728\u6269\u5f20\uff1a\u5236\u9020\u4e1a PMI \u7531 51.5 \u5347\u81f3 52.0\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a PMI \u7531 50.5 \u5347\u81f3 53.6\uff1b6 \u6708\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u7ef4\u6301 4.4%\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u589e\u52a0 7.63 \u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u6b64\u524d 5 \u6708\u589e\u5e45\u7ecf\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3a 4.4 \u4e07\u4eba\u3002\u8d38\u6613\u4f59\u989d\u4ece 6 \u6708\u7684 23.67 \u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143\u9006\u5dee\u8f6c\u4e3a 19.29 \u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143\u987a\u5dee\uff1b\u5b63\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u7531 0.9% QoQ \u653e\u7f13\u81f3 0.3%\uff0c\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u7ef4\u6301 2.5%\u3002\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63 CPI \u7531 4.1% \u56de\u843d\u81f3 3.9%\uff0c\u4f46\u6838\u5fc3\u6307\u6807\uff08trimmed mean \u4e0e weighted median\uff09\u7531 3.5% \u5c0f\u5e45\u5347\u81f3 3.6%\uff1b7 \u6708\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u7531 5.5% \u964d\u81f3 4.7%\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\uff08RBA\uff096 \u6708\u5c06 OCR \u7ef4\u6301\u5728 4.35%\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u62bc\u6ce8\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u7ea6 13 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7d27\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f 4.3% YoY\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u589e\u957f 5.3%\uff0c\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u589e\u957f 1.0%\uff1b\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u7531 1054 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u6269\u5927\u81f3 1256.2 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u5c06 1 \u5e74\u671f LPR \u7ef4\u6301\u5728 3.00%\uff0c5 \u5e74\u671f\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 3.50%\u3002\u6301\u4ed3\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0cCFTC \u51c0\u7a7a\u5355\u7531 4.0 \u4e07\u53e3\u6536\u655b\u81f3 3.32 \u4e07\u53e3\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u672a\u5e73\u4ed3\u5408\u7ea6\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e 24 \u4e07\u53e3\uff08\u6b64\u524d\u7ea6 23 \u4e07\u53e3\uff09\uff1b\u6295\u673a\u655e\u53e3\u7531 -17.4% \u6539\u5584\u81f3 -13.8%\uff0c4 \u5468\u53d8\u5316\u7531 -2.23 \u4e07\u53e3\u6536\u7a84\u81f3 -0.85 \u4e07\u53e3\uff1b\u51c0\u6301\u4ed3\u767e\u5206\u4f4d\u5347\u81f3 74.3\uff0c\u6295\u673a\u655e\u53e3\u767e\u5206\u4f4d\u5347\u81f3 80.8\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u4e0e\u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n<p>\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\u5728\u6fb3\u5143\u903c\u8fd1\u5173\u952e\u963b\u529b\u533a\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u5e94\u91c7\u53d6\u8010\u5fc3\u3001\u89c2\u671b\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002AUD\/USD \u76ee\u524d\u7ea6\u5728 0.7057 \u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u8bae\u5728\u660e\u786e\u8d8b\u52bf\u51fa\u73b0\u524d\uff0c\u6682\u7f13\u8fdb\u884c\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u5355\u8fb9\u62bc\u6ce8\u3002\u6b64\u4e00\u8c28\u614e\u7acb\u573a\u76f8\u5f53\u5fc5\u8981\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6c47\u4ef7\u4ecd\u88ab\u5939\u5728\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6491\u7684 200 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\u4e0e 0.7100 \u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u7a7a\u95f4\u5341\u5206\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82e5\u51fa\u73b0\u5bf9 0.7100 \u7684\u6301\u7eed\u6709\u6548\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u5e94\u51c6\u5907\u8f6c\u4e3a\u505a\u591a\uff0c\u4ee5\u628a\u63e1\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u7a7a\u5934\u56de\u8865\uff08short squeeze\uff09\u884c\u60c5\u3002\u6700\u65b0 CFTC \u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6295\u673a\u51c0\u7a7a\u5408\u7ea6\u5df2\u51cf\u5c11 6,800 \u53e3\u81f3 3.32 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