{"id":51949,"date":"2026-07-29T02:28:34","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T02:28:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/uncategorized\/%e7%ba%bd%e7%ba%a6%e6%a2%85%e9%9a%86%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%e8%b6%85%e7%ba%a7%e6%a0%b8%e5%bf%83%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e4%bb%8d%e5%85%b7%e7%b2%98%e6%80%a7%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82\/"},"modified":"2026-07-29T02:28:34","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T02:28:34","slug":"%e7%ba%bd%e7%ba%a6%e6%a2%85%e9%9a%86%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%e8%b6%85%e7%ba%a7%e6%a0%b8%e5%bf%83%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e4%bb%8d%e5%85%b7%e7%b2%98%e6%80%a7%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/live-updates\/%e7%ba%bd%e7%ba%a6%e6%a2%85%e9%9a%86%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%e8%b6%85%e7%ba%a7%e6%a0%b8%e5%bf%83%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e4%bb%8d%e5%85%b7%e7%b2%98%e6%80%a7%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7ebd\u7ea6\u6885\u9686\u94f6\u884c\u8b66\u544a\u201c\u8d85\u7ea7\u6838\u5fc3\u201d\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u5177\u7c98\u6027\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u62bc\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52a8\uff0c\u5de5\u4f5c\u7ec4\u5ba1\u67e5\u8861\u91cf\u6307\u6807"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>BNY \u7684 John Velis \u4e0e David Tam \u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u201c\u8d85\u7ea7\u6838\u5fc3\u201d\uff08supercore\uff09\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u662f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u57fa\u51c6\u60c5\u5883\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f9d\u7136\u503e\u5411\u4e8e 7 \u6708\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52a8\u3002\u81ea 2023 \u5e74\u4e2d\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5254\u9664\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u670d\u52a1\u901a\u80c0\u8f83\u75ab\u60c5\u524d\u7684\u8fd0\u884c\u8282\u594f\u9ad8\u51fa\u8fd1 1 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Warsh \u7684\u201c\u901a\u80c0\u6846\u67b6\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c0f\u7ec4\u201d\uff08Inflation Frameworks Task Force\uff09\u5c06\u91cd\u65b0\u8bc4\u4f30\u901a\u80c0\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u4e0e\u201c\u7b2c\u4e00\u6027\u539f\u7406\u201d\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u4ee5\u201c\u4fee\u526a\u5747\u503c\u901a\u80c0\u201d\uff08trimmed mean inflation\uff09\u7b49\u66ff\u4ee3\u6307\u6807\u53d6\u4ee3 PCE \u603b\u4f53\u6307\u6807\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u75ab\u60c5\u540e\u4fee\u526a\u5747\u503c\u4e00\u5ea6\u6ede\u540e\u4e8e\u6838\u5fc3 PCE \u540c\u6bd4\uff08y\/y\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u4e0b\u884c\u9636\u6bb5\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u540c\u6837\u6ede\u540e\uff1b\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c2008 \u5e74\u672b\u603b\u4f53\u901a\u80c0\u8fc5\u901f\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u8fbe\u62c9\u65af\u8054\u50a8\u4fee\u526a\u5747\u503c\u76f4\u5230 2009 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2.2% \u7684\u57fa\u51c6\u6c34\u5e73\u9ad8\u51fa\u8fd1 1 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u90e8\u5206\u70ed\u5ea6\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u6765\u81ea\u884c\u4e1a\u7279\u5b9a\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u673a\u7968\u4e0e\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u8d39\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5bf9\u52a0\u606f\u8fc5\u901f\u505a\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\u3002\u4e3a\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u8bae\u4f7f\u7528\u901a\u80c0\u4e92\u6362\uff08inflation swaps\uff09\u671f\u6743\u8fdb\u884c\u5bf9\u51b2\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u8fd9\u4e9b\u987d\u56fa\u5206\u9879\u4f7f\u4e2d\u671f\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u6846\u67b6\u53d8\u5316\u4e0e\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u5fc5\u987b\u5173\u6ce8\u4e3b\u5e2d Kevin Warsh 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