{"id":50987,"date":"2026-07-09T12:57:29","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T12:57:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/uncategorized\/%e5%8d%8e%e4%be%a8%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e5%8d%87%e6%b8%a9%e3%80%81%e6%b2%b9%e4%bb%b7%e4%b8%8e%e7%be%8e%e5%80%ba%e6%94%b6%e7%9b%8a%e7%8e%87%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%ba\/"},"modified":"2026-07-09T12:57:29","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T12:57:29","slug":"%e5%8d%8e%e4%be%a8%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e5%8d%87%e6%b8%a9%e3%80%81%e6%b2%b9%e4%bb%b7%e4%b8%8e%e7%be%8e%e5%80%ba%e6%94%b6%e7%9b%8a%e7%8e%87%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%ba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/live-updates\/%e5%8d%8e%e4%be%a8%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e5%8d%87%e6%b8%a9%e3%80%81%e6%b2%b9%e4%bb%b7%e4%b8%8e%e7%be%8e%e5%80%ba%e6%94%b6%e7%9b%8a%e7%8e%87%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%ba\/","title":{"rendered":"\u534e\u4fa8\u94f6\u884c\uff1a\u4e2d\u4e1c\u98ce\u9669\u5347\u6e29\u3001\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0e\u7f8e\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u9884\u8ba12026\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u6da82%\u81f33%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e2d\u4e1c\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u6e29\u4ee5\u53ca\u6cb9\u4ef7\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u6070\u9022\u7f8e\u5143\u8f6c\u5f3a\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0a\u626c\u3002OCBC \u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5c06\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\uff082H26\uff09\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u3001\u65e5\u5706\u4e0e\u745e\u58eb\u6cd5\u90ce\u7b49\u4f4e\u6536\u76ca\u8d27\u5e01\u5347\u503c 2%\u20133%\uff1b\u4f46\u5176\u540c\u65f6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u884c\u9700\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u80fd\u6e90\u4e0e\u5b8f\u89c2\u89e6\u53d1\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u57fa\u51c6\u60c5\u5883\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u5c06\u903e 5% \u7684\u5347\u5e45\u89c6\u4e3a\u5c3e\u90e8\u98ce\u9669\uff08tail risk\uff09\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u51fa\u73b0\u6bcf\u6876\u6cb9\u4ef7\u9ad8\u4e8e 100 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6216\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fc7\u70ed\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e0b\u884c\u4e0e\u4e2d\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u6587\u4e2d\u79f0\uff0c\u5e03\u5170\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u7ea6\u6bcf\u6876 78 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u4f4e\u4e8e\u4f1a\u6311\u6218\u201c\u524d\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u80fd\u6e90\u51b2\u51fb\u6b63\u5728\u6d88\u9000\u201d\u8fd9\u4e00\u5224\u65ad\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u884c\u88ab\u6807\u8bb0\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u66f4\u5168\u9762\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6700\u65b0 FOMC \u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u88ab\u5f62\u5bb9\u4e3a\u60ca\u559c\u4e0d\u591a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0e\u4f1a\u8bae\u540e\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u57fa\u8c03\u4e00\u81f4\uff1b\u4e3b\u8981\u8981\u70b9\u5728\u4e8e\u653f\u7b56\u5c55\u671b\u66f4\u8d8b\u5411\u60c5\u666f\u5316\uff08scenario-based\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>\u7f8e\u5143\u5c55\u671b\u4e0e\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u5c06\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u5347\u503c 2%\u20133%\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u76f8\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u4e0e\u65e5\u5706\u3002\u8be5\u5c55\u671b\u7684\u9a71\u52a8\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u5347\u6e29\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u63a8\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u5e03\u5170\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u672c\u5468\u5df2\u6500\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876 81 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u76f8\u5173\u8d8b\u52bf\u6b63\u5728\u5c55\u5f00\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8003\u8651\u4e70\u5165\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\uff08DXY\uff09\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u672b\u5230\u671f\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff08call options\uff09\u8fdb\u884c\u90e8\u7f72\u3002\u8be5\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u5728\u98ce\u9669\u53ef\u63a7\uff08defined-risk\uff09\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u6355\u6349\u9884\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u5728\u8bc4\u4f30\u5efa\u7acb\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EUR\/USD\uff09\u7a7a\u5934\u7684\u671f\u8d27\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5229\u5dee\u4ecd\u504f\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>\u5c3e\u90e8\u98ce\u9669\u3001\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6491\u4e0e\u5386\u53f2\u5bf9\u7167<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u51fa\u73b0\u66f4\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u3001\u903e 5% \u7684\u5347\u52bf\u7684\u6982\u7387\u8f83\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u82e5\u6cb9\u4ef7\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876 100 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u89e6\u53d1\u8be5\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u9488\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u53e0\u52a0\u4e00\u4e9b\u4ef7\u683c\u4fbf\u5b9c\u7684\u4ef7\u5916\uff08out-of-the-money\uff09\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5c3e\u90e8\u98ce\u9669\u5bf9\u51b2\uff0c\u4ee5\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u521d\u59cb\u6210\u672c\u6362\u53d6\u53ef\u89c2\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u8be5\u89c2\u70b9\u4ea6\u83b7\u5f97\u8fd1\u671f\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6491\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u5177\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ef4\u6301\u504f\u9e70\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\u65b0\u589e 21.5 \u4e07\u4e2a\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff1b\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a 5 \u5e74\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 3.1%\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd 10 \u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e5f\u91cd\u65b0\u56de\u5230 4.50% \u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u5347\u7f8e\u5143\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u66fe\u5728 2022 \u5e74\u521d\u51fa\u73b0\uff1a\u80fd\u6e90\u51b2\u51fb\u53e0\u52a0\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e70\u6d3e\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u663e\u8457\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u73af\u5883\u4e0e\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u9887\u4e3a\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u4f7f\u5f97\u505a\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u5bf9\u90a3\u4e9b\u592e\u884c\u8f83\u4e0d\u503e\u5411\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u663e\u5f97\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u70b9\u51fb<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/trade-now\/\">\u8fd9\u91cc<\/a>\u521b\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5b9e\u8d26\u6237\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5c40\u52bf\u63a8\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0e\u7f8e\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0a\u626c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6216\u8fce\u518d\u4e00\u6ce2\u884c\u60c5\u3002OCBC \u65992H26\u7f8e\u5143\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u65e5\u5706\u53472%-3%\uff1b\u82e5\u6cb9\u7834100\u6216\u7f8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fc7\u70ed\uff0c\u6da8\u5e45\u6216\u903e5%\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49941,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50987","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50987"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50987\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50987"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50987"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50987"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}