{"id":50561,"date":"2026-07-02T11:27:40","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T11:27:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/uncategorized\/%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%8f%8d%e5%bc%b9%e9%87%8d%e5%9b%9e1-1400%e4%b8%8a%e6%96%b9%ef%bc%8c%e7%96%b2%e8%bd%af%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e6%89%93%e5%8e%8b%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83\/"},"modified":"2026-07-02T11:27:40","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T11:27:40","slug":"%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%8f%8d%e5%bc%b9%e9%87%8d%e5%9b%9e1-1400%e4%b8%8a%e6%96%b9%ef%bc%8c%e7%96%b2%e8%bd%af%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e6%89%93%e5%8e%8b%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/live-updates\/%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%8f%8d%e5%bc%b9%e9%87%8d%e5%9b%9e1-1400%e4%b8%8a%e6%96%b9%ef%bc%8c%e7%96%b2%e8%bd%af%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e6%89%93%e5%8e%8b%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u53cd\u5f39\u91cd\u56de1.1400\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u75b2\u8f6f\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u6253\u538b\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u5e02\u573a\u9759\u5f85\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u5468\u56db\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u65e9\u76d8\u5ef6\u7eed\u65e5\u5185\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5728\u4ece\u9694\u591c\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3\u4e00\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9\u540e\u6536\u590d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5931\u5730\uff0c\u5e76\u91cd\u65b0\u7ad9\u4e0a 1.1400\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u5f31\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u51ef\u6587\u00b7\u6c83\u4ec0\uff08Kevin Warsh\uff09\u7684\u8bb2\u8bdd\u672a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f84\u7ed9\u51fa\u660e\u786e\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u968f\u4e4b\u8d70\u8f6f\u3002ADP \u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c6 \u6708\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u5c31\u4e1a\u589e\u52a0 9.8 \u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u524d\u503c 12.2 \u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u53ca\u9884\u671f\u7684 11.3 \u4e07\u4eba\uff1b\u540c\u65f6\uff0cISM \u5236\u9020\u4e1a PMI \u4ece 54 \u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3 53.3\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6c83\u4ec0\u4ecd\u8868\u793a\u901a\u80c0\u4f9d\u7136\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e76\u91cd\u7533\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5b9e\u73b0 2% \u7684\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u7ee7\u7eed\u8ba1\u5165\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u81f3\u5c11\u4e00\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u6216\u5c06\u9650\u5236\u7f8e\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u540c\u6837\u53d7\u5230\u5173\u6ce8\uff1a\u7f8e\u4f0a\u5728\u591a\u54c8\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u95f4\u63a5\u4f1a\u8c08\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u4e4b\u4e0b\u4ecd\u672a\u5c31\u6301\u4e45\u548c\u5e73\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u5c55\uff1b\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5468\u56db\u6e05\u6668\u5bf9\u57fa\u8f85\u53d1\u52a8\u5bfc\u5f39\u4e0e\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u88ad\u51fb\u3002\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a 6 \u6708\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u8d70\u8f6f\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c 7 \u6708\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff1b\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5219\u7b49\u5f85\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\uff08NFP\uff09\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u5411\u63d0\u4f9b\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>Current Price Action and Diverging Central Bank Policy<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u5728 2026 \u5e74 7 \u6708 2 \u65e5\u8fd9\u4e00\u5929\u5c1d\u8bd5\u8d70\u9ad8\u3001\u5411 1.0900 \u9760\u62e2\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd1\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u964d\u6e29\u3001\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u8d8b\u7f13\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6b63\u5728\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u4e3a\u6b27\u5143\u5e26\u6765\u4e00\u4e9b\u5598\u606f\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u9884\u671f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u665a\u964d\u606f\uff1bCME FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5230 12 \u6708\u81f3\u5c11\u964d\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u6982\u7387\u8d85\u8fc7 65%\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\uff08Jerome Powell\uff09\u4e00\u76f4\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u5728\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u9ecf\u7740\u5728\u7ea6 2.8% \u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6297\u901a\u80c0\u4e4b\u6218\u5c1a\u672a\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u8c28\u614e\u7acb\u573a\u5e94\u4f1a\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u5b9a\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u7f8e\u5143\u51fa\u73b0\u5168\u9762\u6027\u5d29\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u66f4\u51c6\u5907\u653e\u677e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5e76\u5df2\u5728 2024 \u5e74 6 \u6708\u542f\u52a8\u964d\u606f\u5468\u671f\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u5f98\u5f8a\u5728\u7ea6 2.5%\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u76f8\u8f83\u5176\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u624b\u66f4\u6709\u7406\u7531\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u6700\u7ec8\u5c06\u9650\u5236\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u5e45\u3001\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u884c\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>Range-Bound Outlook, Volatility, and Key Risks<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u76f8\u4e92\u77db\u76fe\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u5728\u672c\u5468\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u51fa\u7089\u524d\uff0c\u6c47\u4ef7\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u533a\u95f4\u9707\u8361\u3002\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u76ee\u524d\u63a5\u8fd1\u591a\u5e74\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u671f\u6743\u6743\u5229\u91d1\u76f8\u5bf9\u4fbf\u5b9c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8003\u8651\u5728\u672c\u5468\u4e94\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\uff08NFP\uff09\u62a5\u544a\u524d\u4e70\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\u7b56\u7565\uff08straddles\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u628a\u63e1\u4ef7\u683c\u5411\u4efb\u4e00\u65b9\u5411\u7a81\u7834\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u89c6\u4e2d\u4e1c\u4e0e\u4e1c\u6b27\u5730\u7f18\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u566a\u97f3\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u89e6\u53d1\u8d44\u91d1\u7a81\u7136\u6d8c\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002\u672c\u6b21\u975e\u519c\u62a5\u544a\u662f\u8fd1\u671f\u6700\u5173\u952e\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5242\uff1a\u82e5\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u610f\u5916\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u8fdf\u964d\u606f\u9884\u671f\u5e76\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u82e5\u6570\u636e\u75b2\u5f31\uff0c\u5219\u5c06\u5f3a\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u7406\u7531\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u70b9\u51fb<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/trade-now\/\">\u8fd9\u91cc<\/a>\u521b\u5efa\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5b9e\u8d26\u6237\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u53cd\u5f39\u91cd\u8fd41.1400\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u4e0eISM\u75b2\u5f31\u538b\u4f4e\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u6c83\u4ec0\u672a\u660e\u793a\u5229\u7387\u3002\u60df\u901a\u80c0\u9ecf\u6027\u4e0e\u5730\u7f18\u98ce\u9669\u9650\u8dcc\uff1b\u6b27\u592e\u884c\u504f\u9e3d\u3002\u7126\u70b9\u8f6c\u5411\u5468\u4e94\u975e\u519c\uff0c\u6216\u5f15\u7206\u7a81\u7834\u884c\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49971,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta 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