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EUR\/USD \u56e0\u7f8e\u901a\u80c0\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u524d\u666f\u63a8\u9ad8\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u800c\u8d70\u4f4e<\/p>\n\n

\u5468\u4e94\u4e9a\u6d32\u65e9\u76d8\uff0cEUR\/USD \u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3\u7ea6 1.1365\uff0c\u4ee4\u6c47\u4ef7\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1 13 \u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff08\u7ea6 1.1350\uff09\u9644\u8fd1\uff1b\u5e02\u573a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u503e\u5411\u62bc\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u5468\u4e94\u7a0d\u665a\u7126\u70b9\u5c06\u8f6c\u5411\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u60c5\u7eea\u6307\u6570\uff1b\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u5f3a\u5316\u7f8e\u5143\u540e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u66f4\u504f\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n

5 \u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6574\u4f53\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\uff08PCE\uff09\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5347 4.1%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e 4 \u6708\u7684 3.3%\uff1b\u53d7\u4e2d\u4e1c\u51b2\u7a81\u76f8\u5173\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u884c\u4f20\u5bfc\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u4e09\u5e74\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u5347\u7834 4.0%\u3002\u6838\u5fc3 PCE \u7531 3.3% \u5347\u81f3 3.4%\uff0c\u4e3a 2023 \u5e74 10 \u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u6838\u5fc3\u8bfb\u6570\uff1bCME FedWatch \u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c9 \u6708 15\u201316 \u65e5\u4f1a\u8bae\u52a0\u606f\u6982\u7387\u63a5\u8fd1 63.4%\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u4e5f\u627f\u538b\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4fe1\u53f7\uff1aECB \u4e8e 6 \u6708\u5c06\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c03 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f3 2.25%\uff1b\u540c\u65f6\u51b3\u7b56\u5c42\u6697\u793a\u5c06\u5ba1\u614e\u8bc4\u4f30\u51b2\u7a81\u5916\u6ea2\u6548\u5e94\u53ca\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u80cc\u79bb\u4ee4\u6b27\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5f31<\/h3>\n\n

\u9274\u4e8e\u9e70\u6d3e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0e\u504f\u9e3d\u6d3e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7f3a\u53e3\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a EUR\/USD \u4ecd\u5c06\u5ef6\u7eed\u504f\u5f31\u8d70\u52bf\u3002\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd 5 \u6708 PCE \u901a\u80c0\u8df3\u5347\u81f3 4.1%\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba1\u4ef7\u52a0\u606f\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3001\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u8dcc\u7834 13 \u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u4f4d\u505a\u5e03\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u8fd9\u79cd\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u5982\u4eca\u4e5f\u5728\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u66f4\u4e3a\u6e05\u6670\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3 PCE \u5347\u81f3\u591a\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d 3.4% \u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff08Eurostat\uff09\u6700\u65b0\u521d\u503c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u8c03\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff08HICP\uff09\u660e\u663e\u843d\u540e\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e3a 2.9%\u3002\u663e\u8457\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u5dee\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u66f4\u6709\u7406\u7531\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u800c ECB \u5219\u7ef4\u6301\u8c28\u614e\u7acb\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\uff1a\u671f\u6743\u3001\u671f\u8d27\u4e0e\u5229\u5dee\u4ea4\u6613<\/h3>\n\n

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\u5bf9\u4e8e\u53ef\u627f\u53d7\u6760\u6746\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u5efa\u7acb EUR\/USD \u671f\u8d27\u5408\u7ea6\u7684\u77ed\u4ed3\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u76ee\u6807\u4e3a 1.1300 \u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u5173\u53e3\uff0c\u6b21\u7ea7\u76ee\u6807\u5728 1.1240 \u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u628a\u6b62\u635f\u8bbe\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u76d8\u6574\u533a\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u4ee5\u66f4\u6709\u6548\u7ba1\u7406\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u5e02\u573a\u786e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u504f\u9ad8\uff0cCME FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\u76ee\u524d\u663e\u793a 9 \u6708 15\u201316 \u65e5\u4f1a\u8bae\u52a0\u606f\u6982\u7387\u8fbe 63.4%\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u5f3a\u70c8\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4ecd\u672a\u88ab\u6c47\u4ef7\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u6620\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u4e3a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u884c\u63d0\u4f9b\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5176\u89c6\u4e3a\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u6301\u7eed\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u9ad8\u6982\u7387\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u3002<\/p>\n\n

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