{"id":47908,"date":"2026-05-29T03:06:05","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T03:06:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%bc%81%e7%a8%b3%e4%ba%8e0-7150%e9%99%84%e8%bf%91%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%b5%84%e6%9c%ac%e6%94%af%e5%87%ba%e4%bc%98%e4%ba%8e%e9%a2%84%e6%9c%9f%ef%bc%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-05-29T03:06:05","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T03:06:05","slug":"%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%bc%81%e7%a8%b3%e4%ba%8e0-7150%e9%99%84%e8%bf%91%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%b5%84%e6%9c%ac%e6%94%af%e5%87%ba%e4%bc%98%e4%ba%8e%e9%a2%84%e6%9c%9f%ef%bc%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/live-updates\/%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%bc%81%e7%a8%b3%e4%ba%8e0-7150%e9%99%84%e8%bf%91%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%b5%84%e6%9c%ac%e6%94%af%e5%87%ba%e4%bc%98%e4%ba%8e%e9%a2%84%e6%9c%9f%ef%bc%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4f01\u7a33\u4e8e0.7150\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u4f18\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdPCE\u6570\u636e\u7f13\u548c\u7f8e\u5143\u9700\u6c42"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\u5468\u56db\u4ece0.7100\u9644\u8fd1\u56de\u843d\u540e\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u57280.7150\u9644\u8fd1\u4f01\u7a33\u3002\u63a8\u52a8\u53cd\u5f39\u7684\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u6fb3\u6d32\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\uff08Q1\uff09\u6c11\u95f4\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\uff08Private Capex\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7528\u4e8e\u6269\u4ea7\u4e0e\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u5f00\u652f\uff09\u6309\u5b63\uff08quarter-on-quarter\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0QoQ\uff0c\u5373\u201c\u4e0e\u4e0a\u4e00\u5b63\u76f8\u6bd4\u201d\uff09\u5927\u589e6.5%\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76841.0%\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u8bbe\u5907\u3001\u5382\u623f\u4e0e\u673a\u68b0\u6295\u8d44\u98d9\u534718.1%\uff1b\u6fb3\u6d32\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff08ABS\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5efa\u8bbe\u6709\u5173\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c2026\/27\u8d22\u5e74\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u9884\u4f30\u4e0a\u8c03\u8fd110%\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u80a1\u6295\u8d44\u5f3a\u52bf\u4e0e\u8f83\u5f31\u7684\u5185\u9700\u5f62\u6210\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff1a4\u6708\u5bb6\u5ead\u652f\u51fa\u6309\u6708\uff08month-on-month\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0MoM\uff0c\u5373\u201c\u4e0e\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u76f8\u6bd4\u201d\uff09\u4e0b\u6ed11.1%\uff0c\u964d\u5e45\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\uff0c4\u6708\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u901a\u80c0\uff08Core PCE\uff0c\u5254\u9664\u98df\u54c1\u4e0e\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5e38\u770b\u6307\u6807\uff09\u6309\u5e74\uff08year-on-year\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0YoY\uff0c\u5373\u201c\u4e0e\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u6708\u76f8\u6bd4\u201d\uff09\u7ef4\u6301\u57283.3%\uff1b\u6309\u6708\u6570\u636e\u653e\u7f13\u81f30.2%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u76840.3%\u3002\u6574\u4f53PCE\uff08Headline PCE\uff0c\u672a\u5254\u9664\u6ce2\u52a8\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u603b\u6307\u6570\uff09\u6309\u5e74\u5347\u81f33.8%\uff0c\u4e3a2023\u5e745\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9PCE\u6570\u636e\u53cd\u5e94\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u9884\u671f\u53d8\u52a8\u4e0d\u5927\uff1bCME FedWatch\uff08\u6839\u636e\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8d27\u63a8\u7b97\u653f\u7b56\u6982\u7387\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u201c\u4eca\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u81f3\u5c11\u518d\u5347\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u201d\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5927\u7ea6\u4e94\u4e94\u6ce2\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u4e5f\u672a\u80fd\u6709\u6548\u8dcc\u78340.7100\u533a\u57df\u3002\u6280\u672f\u9762\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u65e5\u7ebf50\u671fEMA\uff08\u6307\u6570\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\uff0c\u7528\u66f4\u91cd\u6743\u91cd\u53cd\u6620\u8fd1\u671f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5747\u7ebf\uff09\u57280.7100\u9644\u8fd1\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6491\uff1b\u65e5\u7ebf\u968f\u673aRSI\uff08Stoch RSI\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u8d85\u4e70\u8d85\u5356\u4e0e\u52a8\u80fd\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff09\u4ece\u8d85\u4e70\u533a\u5f00\u59cb\u8f6c\u5f31\uff1b\u4e0a\u65b9\u963b\u529b\u4ecd\u5728\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u524d\u9ad8\u70b90.7300\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u7126\u70b9\u8f6c\u5411\uff1a\u5468\u65e5\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff08NBS\uff09PMI\uff08\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\/\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\uff09\uff0c\u5468\u4e00\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8bb2\u8bdd\uff0c\u5468\u4e09\u6fb3\u6d32Q1 GDP\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5468\u4e94\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\uff08NFP\uff0c\u975e\u519c\u90e8\u95e8\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>AUD\/USD Support and Investment Flows<\/h3>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6fb3\u5143\u57280.7100\u9644\u8fd1\u5b88\u4f4f\u5173\u952e\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u5df2\u8bc1\u660e\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u56fa\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u97e7\u6027\u6765\u81ea\u4f01\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u660e\u663e\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u5728\u6536\u7f29\u3002\u6570\u636e\u4e00\u5f3a\u4e00\u5f31\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee4\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08RBA\uff09\u503e\u5411\u89c2\u671b\uff1b\u8fd9\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u4e3a\u6fb3\u5143\u5229\u5dee\u63d0\u4f9b\u5e95\u90e8\u652f\u6491\uff08yield floor\uff0c\u5373\u8f83\u96be\u518d\u660e\u663e\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u5229\u7387\/\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0b\u9650\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u652f\u6491\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u662f\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u70ed\u6f6e\uff0c\u5e26\u52a8Q1\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u5927\u589e6.5%\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u884c\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u8ba1\u6bcf\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u903e5%\uff0c\u6089\u5c3c\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u4e9a\u592a\uff08APAC\uff09\u524d\u4e94\u5927\u67a2\u7ebd\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u8fd9\u7c7b\u957f\u671f\u6295\u8d44\u5468\u671f\u5c5e\u4e8e\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u5229\u597d\uff08structural positive\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u8d8b\u52bf\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\uff09\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u5c1a\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u4ef7\u683c\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>U.S. Inflation, Event Risk, and Trading Strategies<\/h3>\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u8fb9\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u5e76\u672a\u8feb\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff08Fed\uff09\u5fc5\u987b\u66f4\u6fc0\u8fdb\u884c\u52a8\uff1b\u6700\u65b0\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u4e3a3.3%\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u524d\u51e0\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002CME FedWatch\u4e5f\u663e\u793a\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u4eca\u5e74\u518d\u5347\u606f\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7f3a\u4e4f\u660e\u786e\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7126\u70b9\u66f4\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u4e0b\u5468\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u770b\u662f\u5426\u6539\u53d8\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u57280.7100\u652f\u6491\u7a33\u56fa\u3001\u4e14\u524d\u65b9\u4e8b\u4ef6\u98ce\u9669\uff08event risk\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u6570\u636e\/\u8bb2\u8bdd\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff09\u8f83\u591a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u503e\u5411\u7528\u671f\u6743\u7b56\u7565\u4ea4\u6613\u9884\u671f\u7684\u533a\u95f4\u9707\u8361\u30021\u5468\u671f\u6743\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u671f\u6743\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u9884\u4f30\uff09\u5df2\u5347\u81f39.5%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u6fb3\u6d32GDP\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u524d\u63d0\u9ad8\u8b66\u60d5\u3002\u4e70\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08straddle\uff0c\u540c\u4ef7\u4f4d\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u8fdb\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff09\u6216\u5bbd\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08strangle\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u4ef7\u4f4d\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u8fdb\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff09\u53ef\u7528\u6765\u5e03\u5c40\u533a\u95f4\u7a81\u7834\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82e5\u8981\u505a\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u628a0.7100\u89c6\u4e3a\u77ed\u7ebf\u505a\u591a\u7684\u5173\u952e\u9632\u7ebf\uff08line in the sand\uff0c\u5373\u5fc5\u987b\u5b88\u4f4f\u7684\u4ef7\u4f4d\uff09\u3002\u82e5\u65e5\u7ebf\u6536\u76d8\u8dcc\u7834\u8be5\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fc5\u901f\u4e0b\u63a20.7000\u3002\u4e0a\u884c\u76ee\u6807\u4ecd\u770b0.7250\u4e0e\u5468\u671f\u9ad8\u70b90.7300\u9644\u8fd1\uff1b\u82e5\u6ca1\u6709\u65b0\u7684\u5229\u591a\u50ac\u5316\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u503e\u5411\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u9022\u9ad8\u51cf\u4ed3\u6216\u5356\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6fb3\u5143\u53d7Q1\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u66b4\u589e6.5%\u4e0e\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6295\u8d44\u5e26\u52a8\uff0cAUD\/USD\u5b88\u7a330.7100\u53cd\u5f39\u81f30.7150\u3002\u7f8ePCE\u5f71\u54cd\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u5173\u6ce8GDP\u3001\u975e\u519c\u4e0e\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\uff1b0.7300\u963b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47908","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u6fb3\u5143\u53d7Q1\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u66b4\u589e6.5%\u4e0e\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6295\u8d44\u5e26\u52a8\uff0cAUD\/USD\u5b88\u7a330.7100\u53cd\u5f39\u81f30.7150\u3002\u7f8ePCE\u5f71\u54cd\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u5173\u6ce8GDP\u3001\u975e\u519c\u4e0e\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\uff1b0.7300\u963b\u529b\u3002\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/live-updates\/%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%bc%81%e7%a8%b3%e4%ba%8e0-7150%e9%99%84%e8%bf%91%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%b5%84%e6%9c%ac%e6%94%af%e5%87%ba%e4%bc%98%e4%ba%8e%e9%a2%84%e6%9c%9f%ef%bc%8c\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta 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