{"id":47794,"date":"2026-05-28T00:59:20","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T00:59:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e4%ba%94%e5%b9%b4%e6%9c%9f%e5%9b%bd%e5%80%ba%e6%a0%87%e5%94%ae%e5%be%97%e6%a0%87%e6%94%b6%e7%9b%8a%e7%8e%87%e8%b7%b3%e5%8d%87%e8%87%b34-182%ef%bc%8c%e5%bc%ba%e5%8c%96\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T00:59:20","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T00:59:20","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e4%ba%94%e5%b9%b4%e6%9c%9f%e5%9b%bd%e5%80%ba%e6%a0%87%e5%94%ae%e5%be%97%e6%a0%87%e6%94%b6%e7%9b%8a%e7%8e%87%e8%b7%b3%e5%8d%87%e8%87%b34-182%ef%bc%8c%e5%bc%ba%e5%8c%96","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/live-updates\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e4%ba%94%e5%b9%b4%e6%9c%9f%e5%9b%bd%e5%80%ba%e6%a0%87%e5%94%ae%e5%be%97%e6%a0%87%e6%94%b6%e7%9b%8a%e7%8e%87%e8%b7%b3%e5%8d%87%e8%87%b34-182%ef%bc%8c%e5%bc%ba%e5%8c%96\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e94\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u6807\u552e\u5f97\u6807\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8df3\u5347\u81f34.182%\uff0c\u5f3a\u5316\u201c\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u66f4\u4e45\u201d\u9884\u671f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e5\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\uff085-year note\uff09\u62cd\u5356\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5229\u7387\uff08yield\uff0c\u6307\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e70\u5165\u56fd\u503a\u540e\u53ef\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u5e74\u5316\u56de\u62a5\u7387\uff09\u4e3a4.182%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4e0a\u4e00\u8f6e\u62cd\u5356\u76843.955%\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8fd9\u4e00\u671f\u9650\u7684\u501f\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\uff08\u653f\u5e9c\u878d\u8d44\u6210\u672c\uff09\u6bd4\u4e0a\u6b21\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u6b21\u5229\u7387\u5728\u4e24\u6b21\u62cd\u5356\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0a\u53470.227\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u8fd9\u6b21\u201c\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4ef7\u201d\uff08repricing\uff0c\u6307\u5e02\u573a\u628a\u5229\u7387\/\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ef7\u683c\u8c03\u6574\u5230\u65b0\u6c34\u5e73\uff09\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u4f20\u5bfc\u5230\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u4e2d\u671f\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5e76\u5f71\u54cd\u672a\u6765\u56fd\u503a\u7684\u878d\u8d44\u6761\u4ef6\u3002  <\/p>\n<h3>Implications for Inflation, Fed Policy, and Interest Rates<\/h3>\n<p>5\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u62cd\u5356\u5229\u7387\u8df3\u5347\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u573a\u8981\u6c42\u66f4\u9ad8\u56de\u62a5\u624d\u613f\u610f\u6301\u6709\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u3002\u8fd9\u901a\u5e38\u8868\u793a\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u901a\u80c0\uff08inflation\uff0c\u7269\u4ef7\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\uff09\u538b\u529b\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u4e45\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u6574\u4f53\u7269\u4ef7\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff09\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\uff08core inflation\uff0c\u5254\u9664\u6ce2\u52a8\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u4e0e\u80fd\u6e90\u540e\uff0c\u66f4\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u957f\u671f\u7269\u4ef7\u8d8b\u52bf\uff09\u4ecd\u987d\u56fa\u5730\u9ad8\u4e8e3.5%\u3002\u503a\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4fe1\u53f7\u8bf4\u660e\u8d44\u91d1\u6210\u672c\uff08cost of money\uff0c\u501f\u94b1\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\uff09\u88ab\u4e0a\u8c03\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u7c7b\u7ed3\u679c\u4f1a\u8ba9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff08Federal Reserve, Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\uff09\u66f4\u96be\u8f6c\u5411\u5bbd\u677e\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u7ef4\u6301\u504f\u7d27\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a\uff08restrictive stance\uff0c\u6307\u8f83\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u6765\u538b\u901a\u80c0\uff09\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0b\u8c03\u5bf9\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u540e\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002CME FedWatch\u5de5\u5177\uff08\u6839\u636e\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u52a0\u606f\/\u964d\u606f\u6982\u7387\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff09\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u964d\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5df2\u8dcc\u783440%\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\u660e\u663e\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u5229\u7387\u4ea4\u6613\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u9700\u8981\u9884\u671f\u5229\u7387\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u505c\u7559\u66f4\u4e45\uff08higher for longer\uff0c\u6307\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\uff09\u3002\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u4f7f\u7528\u884d\u751f\u54c1\uff08derivatives\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5229\u7387\u7b49\u57fa\u7840\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u6765\u5e94\u5bf9\uff1a\u4f8b\u5982\u505a\u7a7a\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u671f\u8d27\uff08shorting Treasury futures\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u503a\u5238\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\/\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u4f7f\u7528\u5229\u7387\u4e92\u6362\uff08interest rate swaps\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u4ea4\u6362\u201c\u56fa\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u201d\u548c\u201c\u6d6e\u52a8\u5229\u7387\u201d\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\uff09\u6765\u9501\u5b9a\u56fa\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u3002\u4e5f\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u671f\u6743\u7b56\u7565\uff08options\uff0c\u7ed9\u4f60\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4ee5\u7279\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e70\u5356\u7684\u6743\u5229\uff09\u62bc\u6ce85\u5e74\u671f\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u57284%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002  <\/p>\n<h3>Impact on Equities and Currency Markets<\/h3>\n<p>\u5728\u80a1\u5e02\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8f83\u9ad8\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\u4f1a\u62d6\u7d2f\u4f30\u503c\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u6210\u957f\u578b\u677f\u5757\u5982\u79d1\u6280\u3002\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u4e3a\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b100\u6307\u6570\uff08Nasdaq 100\uff0c\u4ee5\u5927\u578b\u79d1\u6280\u4e0e\u6210\u957f\u80a1\u4e3a\u4e3b\u7684\u6307\u6570\uff09\u914d\u7f6e\u4fdd\u62a4\u6027\u8ba4\u6cbd\u671f\u6743\uff08protective put\uff0c\u4e70\u5165\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\u4e3a\u6301\u4ed3\u201c\u4e70\u4fdd\u9669\u201d\uff0c\u5728\u4e0b\u8dcc\u65f6\u964d\u4f4e\u635f\u5931\uff09\u3002\u957f\u671f\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u8d44\u4ea7\uff08long-duration assets\uff0c\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u66f4\u654f\u611f\u3001\u4f30\u503c\u66f4\u4f9d\u8d56\u8fdc\u671f\u76c8\u5229\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff09\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4ef7\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u538b\u5236\u80a1\u5e02\u8868\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e5\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u62cd\u5356\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u98d9\u81f34.182%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u8f6e\u534722.7\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u878d\u8d44\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u884c\u3002\u901a\u80c0\u9ecf\u6027\u4ee4\u5e02\u573a\u62bc\u6ce8\u201c\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u66f4\u4e45\u201d\uff0c\u964d\u606f\u9884\u671f\u964d\u6e29\uff0c\u80a1\u503a\u6c47\u6216\u8fce\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u91cd\u4f30\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47794","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- 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