{"id":47051,"date":"2026-03-04T19:41:02","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T19:41:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e5%88%a9%e7%94%a8gdp%e5%8d%b3%e6%97%b6%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%ef%bc%8c%e6%98%9f%e5%b1%95%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e5%ae%b6%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%e5%8d%b0%e5%ba%a6fy25%e8%b4%a2%e5%b9%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-03-04T19:41:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T19:41:02","slug":"%e5%88%a9%e7%94%a8gdp%e5%8d%b3%e6%97%b6%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%ef%bc%8c%e6%98%9f%e5%b1%95%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e5%ae%b6%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%e5%8d%b0%e5%ba%a6fy25%e8%b4%a2%e5%b9%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn-asia\/live-updates\/%e5%88%a9%e7%94%a8gdp%e5%8d%b3%e6%97%b6%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%ef%bc%8c%e6%98%9f%e5%b1%95%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e5%ae%b6%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%e5%8d%b0%e5%ba%a6fy25%e8%b4%a2%e5%b9%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5229\u7528GDP\u5373\u65f6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u661f\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u8ba1\u5370\u5ea6FY25\u8d22\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u57282026\u5e74\u521d\u964d\u6e29"},"content":{"rendered":"DBS 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7.2%\u3002\u653e\u7f13\u4e0e\u5de5\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u504f\u5f31\u3001\u8d27\u8fd0\u91cf\uff08\u8fd0\u8f93\u7684\u8d27\u7269\u89c4\u6a21\uff09\u4e0b\u964d\u3001\u5546\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u8d70\u5f31\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e58\u7528\u8f66\u4e0e\u5546\u7528\u8f66\u9500\u91cf\u589e\u957f\u653e\u6162\u6709\u5173\u3002\n\n\u6309 2026 \u65e5\u5386\u5e74\uff081\u201312 \u6708\uff09\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5168\u5e74\u589e\u901f\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 6.5%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e 7.8%\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u9884\u6d4b\u5b58\u5728\u4e0a\u884c\u98ce\u9669\uff08\u5b9e\u9645\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u80fd\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u6d4b\uff09\u3002\n\n\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u672b\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u589e\u957f\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u5f00\u59cb\u964d\u6e29\u3002\u867d\u7136\u53bb\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6269\u5f20\u5f88\u5feb\uff0c\u4f46\u5f53\u524d\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a 2026 \u5e74 1\u20133 \u6708\u671f\u95f4\u53ef\u80fd\u653e\u7f13\u5230\u7ea6 7.2%\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u589e\u957f\u52a8\u80fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fc7\u53bb\u3002\n\n<h3>\u7ec4\u5408\u5bf9\u51b2\u4e0e\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u5e03\u5c40<\/h3>\n\u8fd9\u4e00\u9884\u671f\u653e\u7f13\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8ba9\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5468\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\uff08\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u8d77\u4f0f\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u52a0\u5927\u3002India VIX\uff08\u5370\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u5e02\u573a\u6050\u614c\u4e0e\u9884\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\uff09\u5df2\u4ece 2025 \u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u7ea6 12 \u7684\u4f4e\u4f4d\u5347\u81f3 14.5\u3002\u5bf9\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e70\u5165\u5230\u671f\u66f4\u8fdc\u7684\u671f\u6743\uff08\u5230\u671f\u65f6\u95f4\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\uff09\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u5408\u9002\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u201c\u8de8\u5f0f\u201d\uff08straddle\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u540c\u4e00\u6807\u7684\u3001\u540c\u4e00\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u3001\u540c\u4e00\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u62bc\u6ce8\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\u800c\u4e0d\u62bc\u6ce8\u65b9\u5411\uff09\u3002\n\n\u7ed3\u5408\u6574\u4f53\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5e94\u8003\u8651\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u591a\u5934\u7ec4\u5408\uff08\u6301\u6709\u770b\u6da8\/\u6301\u6709\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff09\u505a\u5bf9\u51b2\uff08\u7528\u76f8\u53cd\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u964d\u4f4e\u4e0b\u8dcc\u635f\u5931\uff09\u3002\u4e70\u5165 Nifty 50 \u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put option\uff0c\u8d4b\u4e88\u6301\u6709\u4eba\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\u6309\u7ea6\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u5356\u51fa\u6807\u7684\u7684\u6743\u5229\uff09\u5e76\u9009\u62e9 2026 \u5e74 4 \u6708\u6216 5 \u6708\u5230\u671f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee5\u8f83\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u4e3a\u6f5c\u5728\u56de\u8c03\u63d0\u4f9b\u7f13\u51b2\u3002\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u5927\u6da8\u540e\u5df2\u505c\u6ede\uff1b\u82e5\u8dcc\u7834\u5f53\u524d\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\uff08\u4ef7\u683c\u5e38\u88ab\u4e70\u76d8\u6258\u4f4f\u7684\u533a\u95f4\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u89e6\u53d1\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u884c\u3002\n\n\u653e\u7f13\u5728\u6c7d\u8f66\u4e0e\u7269\u6d41\u7b49\u884c\u4e1a\u66f4\u660e\u663e\u30022026 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5546\u7528\u8f66\u9500\u91cf\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d 4%\uff0c\u5370\u8bc1\u4e86\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u8d27\u8fd0\u8d70\u5f31\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u8003\u8651\u4e70\u5165\u90e8\u5206\u6c7d\u8f66\u4e0e\u7269\u6d41\u4e2a\u80a1\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u6216\u5728\u6c7d\u8f66\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5efa\u7acb\u770b\u8dcc\u7684\u671f\u8d27\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff08futures position\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u671f\u8d27\u5408\u7ea6\u62bc\u6ce8\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6216\u5bf9\u51b2\u98ce\u9669\uff09\u3002\n\n\u968f\u7740 2026 \u5e74\u63a8\u8fdb\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e0e\u51fa\u53e3\u76f8\u5173\u80a1\u7968\u4e5f\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u30022026 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u6700\u65b0\u7684 IIP\uff08Index of Industrial Production\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u8861\u91cf\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u3001\u91c7\u77ff\u4e1a\u3001\u7535\u529b\u7b49\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\uff09\u663e\u793a\u589e\u901f\u653e\u7f13\u81f3 3.5%\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u4f4e\u4e8e 2025 \u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u8d85\u8fc7 5% 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