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by VT Markets
Jul 17, 2026
WTI 连续第四个交易时段横盘整理，周五欧洲早盘交投于79.00美元附近；市场正等待美伊紧张关系的最新进展，以及霍尔木兹海峡原油运输是否面临风险。走势此前已突破4小时图上4月至7月跌势的23.6%斐波那契回撤位及200日简单移动平均线（SMA），这使得当前区间更像是整理盘整而非趋势反转。相对强弱指数（RSI）位于约59，而移动平均收敛散度（MACD，12、26、9）仍处于负值区域，显示短线动能有限。
若油价上破并站稳80.00美元的心理关口，焦点将转向82.48美元（38.2%回撤位），其后为87.25美元（50.0%回撤位）。进一步阻力分别位于92.01美元（61.8%回撤位）及98.79美元（78.6%回撤位）。
下行方面，支撑首先看向200周期SMA所在的77.30美元，其后为76.59美元（23.6%回撤位）；一旦跌破将削弱当前偏多结构，并在更大区间内加深回调。
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