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by VT Markets
Sep 23, 2026
大华银行（UOB）策略师预期，美元/离岸人民币（USD/CNH）短期内可能继续缓步走低，但整体仍将维持区间震荡。在延续上周五跌势后，该货币对一度触及6.6912，银行认为下行动能仅略有增强。就下一交易时段而言，UOB预计波动区间在6.6890至6.6960之间，并判断有效跌破6.6890的可能性不高。
在未来一至三周的时间框架内，UOB指出，随着汇价跌破6.7000，下行动能正在逐步累积。该关键位自9月18日起被重点观察，当时现价为6.7035。该行此前曾表示，若汇价跌破并能守在6.7000下方，跌向6.6920的空间将打开；但该观点的前提是汇价必须持续低于6.7170（被描述为强阻力位）。目前USD/CNH已下探至6.6912，下一道下行目标位被指向6.6820，同时强阻力位更新为6.7020；从一至三个月的角度看，只要汇价仍处于约6.7815附近的云层下方，预计仍将延续温和下行走势。
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