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Live Updates

17

Mar 2026

尽管澳洲联储加息，澳元/日元在亚洲时段随澳元走弱回落至约112.50

澳元/日元回吐涨幅徘徊112.50！RBA加息前景偏鹰、能源推升通胀；但日本或出手干预、BoJ仍有收紧空间，汇价上行恐受限。

17

Mar 2026

在此前涨势后，英镑/美元亚洲时段小幅回落至1.3310附近，或有望下探至1.3218低点

英镑/美元反弹后回落，1.3300支撑受考验；跌破均线、RSI偏弱，下降通道延续。英通胀降、英央行或降息，美元获撑；可布局看跌期权或熊市看涨价差。

17

Mar 2026

油价走高与中东紧张局势提振加元，美元/加元在美联储决议前走低

USD/CAD 亚洲回落至1.3685，中东冲突推油价破100美元撑加元；但加拿大2月就业大减、失业升至6.7%承压。全市场聚焦周三美联储利率与鲍威尔讲话走向。

17

Mar 2026

中国央行将美元兑人民币中间价设在6.8961，前值为6.9057，市场预估为6.8874

爆点：PBOC中间价6.8961虽较昨更强，却高于市场预估，暗示容忍人民币温和走软以稳出口；在受控波动下，策略偏卖波动或做多USD/CNY价差。

17

Mar 2026

通胀忧虑升温，美联储降息希望降温，白银回落至约80.50美元

白银跌至80.50美元，降息预期降温叠加中东推升通胀，利率高企压制不生息资产。但2026年降息概率升至82%，波动率回落，期权策略转向布局温和上行。

17

Mar 2026

欧元/美元跌破1.1500，美元走强，市场聚焦即将召开的央行会议

央行周+地缘风险引爆外汇！EUR/USD反弹后再跌、1.1500承压；Fed降息预期降温推升美元。油价飙升拖累欧元区、滞涨阴霾笼罩，期权波动升温待突破。

17

Mar 2026

在澳洲央行（RBA）政策决议出炉前，澳元兑美元（AUD/USD）在亚市前一交易日上涨1.25%后回落至0.7060

澳元/美元冲高回落，焦点转向RBA或重启加息与油价通胀。美联储偏鹰、美元仍强，汇价承压。投资者可买波动或部署看跌期权，锁定0.6500潜在下探。

17

Mar 2026

中东局势持续升级，伊朗冲突未解，WTI原油在亚洲早盘交投于94.20美元附近

WTI亚洲盘站上94美元：伊以冲突推升供应中断忧虑、油市波动加剧。IEA或释放4亿桶压制涨势。高权利金下，跨式/牛市价差成策略焦点。

17

Mar 2026

植田称核心通胀正逐步逼近2%，央行正引导政策以可持续方式确保达标

植田称核心通胀稳步迈向2%，预计2026下半年至2027靠拢；加息料慢，利差与套息撑美元/日元159高位，但逼近160干预风险升温。

17

Mar 2026

日本财务部长片山五月承认市场波动加剧，并誓言采取行动，包括在外汇市场采取措施

日财长片山警告将应对外汇波动，美元/日元159.20逼近160干预线。历史口头警告常伴真出手，期权隐波飙至13.1%，交易员慎防急跌，可布Put或封顶看涨价差。

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