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Live Updates

20

Mar 2026

日元普遍走强推动美元/日元下跌1.25%，跌破158.00至约157.80

美元/日元再跌破158，收157.8，央行偏鹰与春斗薪资5.9%促日元走强。市场夹在日银收紧与美联储观望，160阻力、156.7支撑，期权波动料高。

20

Mar 2026

日本央行与英国央行利率维持不变后，英镑/日元徘徊在212.00附近，试图突破212.73

央行按兵不动，GBP/JPY守212区间，上升通道未破。关注212.73突破看215，失守转207/204。隐波7.5%偏低，跨式/宽跨式捕捉大波动机会。

20

Mar 2026

2月，新西兰年度贸易差额扩大至30亿纽元逆差，较此前的23亿纽元逆差进一步扩大

新西兰2月贸易赤字扩大至30亿纽元，出口不敌进口。叠加乳制品价格走弱，纽元或承压下探0.6050；警惕RBNZ转鸽加速贬值。可布局看跌期权或期货空单。

20

Mar 2026

新西兰月度贸易逆差收窄至2.57亿纽元，优于预期的4.70亿纽元逆差

新西兰2月贸易逆差仅2.57亿纽元，远好于预期4.70亿：缺口收窄或推升纽元，并令RBNZ更难急于降息。短线可用纽元看涨期权布局上行。

20

Mar 2026

新西兰2月进口总额达68.9亿美元，高于此前的67亿美元

新西兰2月进口意外升至68.9亿美元，内需韧性推高通胀黏性，RBNZ或更久维持5.5%高利率。惟出口疲弱恐扩大逆差、压纽元；投机可短多并用长期看跌期权对冲。

20

Mar 2026

2月新西兰出口从此前的62.1亿纽元增至66.3亿纽元，显示外部需求走强

新西兰2月出口跳升至66.3亿纽元，叠加GDT乳价走强，提振贸易前景与纽元。通胀高企令RBNZ维持鹰派，NZD/USD或冲0.6280，可布局短期看涨期权。

20

Mar 2026

在欧洲央行利率按兵不动后，欧元/美元上涨1.16%；泄密消息暗示4月将提前讨论加息

欧元/美元在ECB按兵不动后飙逾1.16%，传最快4月讨论加息成催化剂；美元指数回落，收益率降温。关注欧区经常账与德国PPI，关键阻力1.1636。

20

Mar 2026

尽管新西兰GDP疲弱且美联储在暂停加息时仍偏鹰派，受美元普遍走弱影响，纽元兑美元上涨1.30%至0.5870

纽元/美元劲升1.3%至0.5870：美元走弱抵消纽西兰GDP不及预期与Fed按兵不动。技术面站上20SMA、受压100SMA；关注0.5892/0.5902阻力与0.5830支撑。

20

Mar 2026

在内塔尼亚胡发表言论后，交易员预期伊朗冲突将更快结束，美股指数回升50个基点

一句“战争更快结束”引爆标题风险：美股尾盘反弹、油价急转。霍尔木兹紧张下，VIX升温。策略上宜买SPY虚值认沽，或原油认沽价差，抢波动红利。

20

Mar 2026

在反弹30%后，Netflix大幅回落，全球流媒体业务关键支撑位面临考验

Netflix股价反弹后转弱，跌破通道中线$100.26并下探$90.58关键下影线。守不住恐看$87.60/$84.63乃至$75；守住则回攻$100.26、$104.54，回调可布局期权收权利金。

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