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Live Updates

24

Mar 2026

在伊朗拒绝和平谈判希望之际，澳元普遍走弱，跌0.6%至0.6760附近

中东紧张再起，避险资金回流美元，澳元亚洲盘跌0.6%至0.6760。澳洲PMI骤降47、内需转弱，期权波动率飙至年高；AUD/USD或再试0.6650。

24

Mar 2026

风险厌恶情绪升温之际，纽元/美元下滑至0.5830附近，更强势美元施压

中东战火再起！以色列空袭德黑兰触发避险，美元走强压低纽元/美元至0.5830；油价破115、期权波动飙升，尽管央行偏鹰，汇价或下探0.5700。

24

Mar 2026

白银XAG/USD回落至66.50美元附近；自61.00美元反弹后仍受100日均线压制，空头占优

白银反弹乏力再遭抛售，跌回66美元中段；跌破100日SMA且MACD转弱，RSI逼近超卖。67/63/60美元成支撑，73-74阻力，突破或上看80-85。

24

Mar 2026

中东冲突升级推升避险情绪，美元走强，欧元/美元跌破1.1600

中东冲突升温引爆避险：EUR/USD反弹乏力再破1.1600，徘徊1.1590。美元走强、VIX飙破25；油价冲上110美元，通胀压力加码，央行前景更不确定。

24

Mar 2026

据X帖文，高市早苗表示日本将从周四起开始释放国家石油储备

高市称日本周四起释国家石油储备，3月底前还将与产油国联合放油，剑指高油价与波动率。交易员警惕原油短期见顶，期权卖波或更吸引。

24

Mar 2026

在2月CPI创四年新低后，日元走弱，美元/日元在亚洲早盘仍获支撑于158.55附近

日元受2月通胀降温拖累，USD/JPY亚洲早盘升至158.55。市场聚焦今晚美国3月标普全球PMI初值及中东紧张升级，或引爆短线汇市波动。

24

Mar 2026

WTI重返95美元中段，中东紧张局势与供应担忧在触及84美元低位后推升油价

油价反弹重上95美元：伊朗否认与美谈判、天然气设施遇袭与霍尔木兹“近关闭”推升供应风险溢价。库存偏紧放大波动，看涨期权仍有戏，但外交转暖恐快速回调。

24

Mar 2026

日本2月核心CPI（剔除生鲜食品）同比上涨1.6%，低于预期的1.7%

日本2月核心CPI同比1.6%低预期，基础通胀降温减轻日央行再加息压力。日元或续弱，USD/JPY看155；弱日元利好出口股，日经可偏多布局。

24

Mar 2026

日本年度全国消费者物价指数在2月放缓至1.3%，低于1.5%

日本2月CPI降至1.3%远离2%目标，削弱日银收紧预期；日元再成做空焦点。美元/日元看涨、日经期货/期权受益，收益率或续低。

24

Mar 2026

英镑兑美元上涨0.5%，从1.3260低点反弹，在特朗普退让后交投于1.3430附近

英镑/美元反弹至1.3430，1.3480下方整理；特朗普暂缓打击伊朗压低油价、提振风险情绪。英伦银行偏鹰警惕通胀。PMI将定方向，低波动利于卖期权并加强下行对冲。

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