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Live Updates

24

Mar 2026

法国HCOB服务业PMI在3月录得48.3，低于预测的49.2

法国3月HCOB服务业PMI跌至48.3、低于预期，收缩加剧。历史暗示欧元与欧股易走弱，市场或提前押注ECB降息，期权与波动率策略迎窗口。

24

Mar 2026

法国HCOB制造业PMI升至50.2，高于3月预测值49，显示温和增长

法国3月HCOB制造业PMI意外升至50.2重返扩张，或改写欧陆疲弱叙事：CAC40有望突破盘整、欧元偏多；降息预期降温，法债收益率反弹风险升温。

24

Mar 2026

欧洲时段，金价反弹重返4,400美元上方，在鹰派央行抑制涨势之际再度测试高位

黄金反弹重返4,400美元，但鹰派央行与强势美元压制涨势；中东紧张推升油价与通胀预期，避险托底金价。聚焦PMI与技术位。

24

Mar 2026

德意志银行称：受美伊谈判信号不一影响，布伦特油价剧烈震荡，一度跌破100美元后反弹重上103美元

一则“美伊会谈”传闻被否认，布伦特从113美元瞬挫至99.94再弹上103，OVX飙至33。方向难押注，改用跨式/宽跨式交易波动更稳。

24

Mar 2026

风险偏好改善助日元收复早前兑美元跌幅，美元/日元徘徊在158.50附近

中东局势降温预期点燃风险偏好，美股期货翻红、美元指数回落，USD/JPY走软至158.50附近；日银称基础通胀温和加速，日元获支撑。

24

Mar 2026

随着伊朗拒绝与美国展开会谈，风险偏好升温行情消退，引导交易员将目光投向全球外汇市场

伊朗局势反复引爆市场急涨急跌！本周欧美英PMI初值成关键风向标；油金剧震、美元回稳，澳日PMI转弱示警，波动率料续高，宜偏防守。

24

Mar 2026

澳元/日元徘徊在111.00附近，测试上升通道支撑；日线图分析显示或出现潜在看跌反转

AUD/JPY 连跌至111附近，测试上升通道下沿。RSI回落至50、动能趋均衡，50日EMA仍守。上看111.69再冲113.96；下守110.60/109.60，破则看108。

24

Mar 2026

英镑/日元稳定于213.00下方，从212.25反弹，交易员等待英国PMI线索指引方向

GBP/JPY欧盘前自212.25反弹至212.70附近横盘，市场等英国PMI初值定方向。BoE或4月加息撑镑，日通胀降温压日元；战事推升能源通胀，213关口成焦点。

24

Mar 2026

在特朗普暗示将展开谈判并暂停打击后，全球股市反弹，带动欧洲与美国股指走高

特朗普称对话启动、暂停打击伊朗能源资产，全球股市急弹但消息反转后收窄。资金轮动追逐科技等周期成长，瞄准VIX回落；房地产、必需消费品仍落后。

24

Mar 2026

澳元/美元在欧洲早盘下滑至0.6980附近，中东紧张局势与特朗普推迟举措带来压力

中东局势升温拖累澳元：AUD/USD跌破0.7000至0.6980。避险美元走强压制汇价。RBA连二次加息至4.10%仍难撑。技术面转弱，关注0.6920/0.6880支撑与0.7065阻力。

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