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Live Updates

26

Mar 2026

美元/瑞郎连续第二个交易日走高，上涨0.45%，自0.7900上方的100日均线反弹，目标指向200日均线

USD/CHF 连涨反弹近0.45%，受地缘风险撑美元与SNB意外降息拖累瑞郎。RSI偏强，突破0.7946看0.8000/0.8040。政策分化成主线，期权布局看涨。

26

Mar 2026

星展银行经济学家拉迪卡·拉奥评估印尼在地缘政治不确定性与全球情绪波动下的在岸市场重开动向

开斋节长假后印尼在岸市场重开，地缘政治与情绪反复令印尼盾交易更谨慎。能源成本与供应紧张或促居家办公等措施；通胀升温，宽松空间受限。

26

Mar 2026

在伊朗相关不安情绪及停火前景不稳之际，美元维持坚挺，略低于100关口

停火传闻令市场先稳后乱，美元指数逼近99.5受利差与避险撑盘；欧元英镑走弱、日元承压。油价冲90后回落，金价攀升，焦点转向密集数据。

26

Mar 2026

美国国债收益率走低、美国或与伊朗展开谈判拖累油价，黄金上涨近2%

金价周三飙近2%至4,556美元，但美伊谈判传闻压制避险；进口通胀升温、降息预期撤销托底。美元走强或回测4,305，区间4,100-4,600波动为王。

26

Mar 2026

美元/日元在从20日均线反弹后连续两日走高，但在159.65峰值下方暂歇

美元/日元连涨逼近160关口，RSI偏强但日本干预阴影压顶。关键位159.65/158.24。美核心PCE高企撑美元。期权波动升温，跨式、牛市价差或看跌对冲成焦点。

26

Mar 2026

法国兴业银行Kunal Kundu表示，印度修订后的GDP系列显示过去增长与需求更为疲弱

印度GDP新口径爆雷：历史增速或高估近2个百分点，内需与制造业更疲弱。法兴建议买Nifty看跌、做多VIX与USD/INR，对消费与汽车股偏空。

26

Mar 2026

纽元/美元再度走低，逼近0.5820，中东紧张局势引发避险情绪推升美元需求

避险情绪升温、美联储偏鹰支撑美元，纽元/美元跌至0.5820。新西兰前景偏弱、惠誉展望转负压制纽元；波动率下滑，策略转向卖跨式/宽跨收权利金。

26

Mar 2026

在美元走强带动下，美元/加元再度上扬，突破1.3700–1.3750阻力区间，加元承压

美元/加元三连涨至1.3806创1月高位！中东紧张推升美元避险压制加元，油价利多被盖过；技术面偏多但RSI近超买，关注1.3850/1.3900阻力与突破信号。

26

Mar 2026

法国巴黎银行表示，欧盟制造商在2026年与伊朗相关的能源冲击来临之际，不良贷款率处于历史低位，较2022年更为稳健

欧央行称银行资产质量稳、制造业NPL续降逾半，但油价冲上115美元考验韧性。投资者可做多波动、期权对冲、CDS买保护，并趁欧元反弹做空。

26

Mar 2026

大华银行李淑安：尽管剔除极端值通胀率低于澳洲联储预测，澳洲通胀仍高企，住房与电力成本成主因

澳洲2月CPI年降至3.7%低预期，但住房、电费支撑核心通胀；补贴掩压且中东油价风险未计入。RBA或更久维持4.35%，降息押注恐过早。

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