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Live Updates

26

Mar 2026

美国七年期国债标售收益率升至4.255%，高于此前的3.79%水平

7年期美债拍卖惨淡，得标收益率飙至4.255%（前次3.79%）——通胀与供给忧虑升温。策略：加码做空国债、买MOVE期权，纳指100买PUT对冲，并增持美元多头。

26

Mar 2026

美元走强及中东紧张局势持续推动美元/瑞郎走高，市场担忧瑞士央行干预令瑞郎承压

中东局势升温推升美元，USD/CHF连涨并逼近200日均线0.7946；市场押注SNB偏鸽压瑞郎。若站稳或上看0.8000，回调更像买点；期权可用call续攻、put防回撤。

26

Mar 2026

银价回落至68.50美元附近，避险美元走强与美债收益率上升抵消地缘政治支撑

白银跌至68.5美元，周内回吐3.85%。中东紧张推高美元与美债收益率，压制贵金属；期权波动偏高、基金减多头，短线或再测30美元支撑。

26

Mar 2026

特朗普言论提振美元/日元升向159.70，美元保持坚挺，日元持续承压

USD/JPY逼近160：美元受避险与美债收益率支撑、降息预期降温，日元续弱。关键159.28支撑、159.70阻力。可用看涨期权博166，并以162看跌期权对冲波动。

26

Mar 2026

弗朗切斯科·佩索莱表示，在通胀担忧下挪威央行转向鹰派提振挪威克朗；预计将加息一次，ING同样预期一次

挪威央行转鹰，通胀不止能源推升，最新预测纳入至少一次加息；市场利率掉期跳涨，押注一年收紧约60bp。ING仍估仅升一次，EUR/NOK偏跌。

26

Mar 2026

金价下跌，终结两日连涨；受美伊谈判不确定性及油价通胀冲击引发全球利率前景偏鹰影响

黄金周四回落1.38%至4,444美元，因美伊谈判不明朗、“抢现金”卖压升温；油价高企推升通胀与高利率预期，美元走强压制避险属性，警惕突发外交反转。

26

Mar 2026

地缘政治紧张局势与美伊谈判前景不明提振美元，加元走弱

中东局势升温、美伊谈判迷雾推升避险美元，USD/CAD 升至1.3848创年内高。油价与利率波动加剧，策略可关注看涨期权、长跨式与牛市价差。

26

Mar 2026

美国4周期国库券拍卖收益率小幅上扬，从3.615%升至3.62%

4周T-bill得标收益率升至3.62%，释放“高利率更久”信号！CPI 3.1%与强劲就业支撑美联储按兵不动，前端利率波动可布局SOFR期权、短债ETF与卖虚值国债期货call。

26

Mar 2026

英镑/美元企稳于1.3360附近，中东紧张局势与强劲美国就业数据提振美元

中东紧张升温推高油价，美元避险走强，英镑/美元徘徊1.3360。美联储偏鹰、英国信心转弱，技术面偏空：1.3340成阻力，反弹卖出仍主流。

26

Mar 2026

道明证券预计英国2月零售销售按月下跌0.6%，受天气影响消费者购物，疲弱势头延续

TD Securities料英国2月零售环比跌0.6%，优于预期但回吐1月涨幅；天气与刺激退潮拖累。通胀偏高或推迟降息，英镑与英股韧性仍可布局。

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