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Live Updates

30

Mar 2026

德国年度消费通胀升至2.7%，较此前录得的1.9%加速上行

德国3月CPI按年飙至2.7%超预期，逆转通胀降温叙事，迫使市场重定价：欧央行或更鹰，债券收益率上行、股市承压，波动与欧元走强交易升温。

30

Mar 2026

3月，德国经协调的消费者价格指数按月上升1.2%，符合市场预期

德国3月HICP环比升1.2%符合预期，通胀顽固坐实ECB难转鸽：利率或更高更久，德债收益率偏上、DAX承压；欧元因政策偏鹰续获支撑。

30

Mar 2026

德国3月年度协调消费者通胀率符合预期，报2.8%，与市场预估一致

德国3月HICP按年升2.8%符合预期，惊喜缺席或压低波动率。通胀仍高于ECB目标，降息料更偏7月；期权卖方与EURIBOR仓位需防延后风险。

30

Mar 2026

德国月度消费者价格指数超预期，3月上升1.1%，高于预期的0.9%

德国3月CPI月增1.1%超预期，打乱ECB夏季降息剧本：6月降息押注降温、欧元冲破1.0950，利率与外汇波动或飙升，DAX高位警戒。

30

Mar 2026

在伊朗袭击打击EGA与Alba后，铝供应趋紧带动价格上涨，海湾地区减产进一步加剧

伊朗袭击波及EGA与巴林Alba，海湾铝供应再受挫。LME铝价早盘飙6%至3492美元/吨。56万吨产能减产，8%-9%供应风险，霍尔木兹航线成关键。

30

Mar 2026

特朗普称美国正与伊朗新政权进行严肃会谈，并警告若谈判破裂将打击其能源设施

美伊“严肃谈判”推进，特朗普却扬言若霍尔木兹不解封将轰伊朗能源设施。油市押注大波动：看涨冲110，看跌护盘，OVX飙至48。

30

Mar 2026

Bob Savage称，随着情绪指数跌破100，欧元在1.15附近走弱，美元维持高位

欧元遭滞胀与能源阴霾重压，EUR/USD逼近1.15。欧盟/欧元区景气跌破长期均值、Sentix转弱；月底再平衡乏力。期权波动升，市场偏逢高卖出、买入下行保护。

30

Mar 2026

分析师预计XAU/USD反弹将持续，或有望上探约5,000美元，支撑黄金看涨前景

金价自4,100美元强弹重返4,532并站稳4,500，动能修复；美元与美债收益率走强压制。关注4,610阻力，突破看4,735/5,040；下方支撑4,355/4,100。央行续买金添底气。

30

Mar 2026

印度累计工业产出2月份升至4.1%，略高于此前的4%水平

印度累计工业产出增速回升至4.1%释韧性，叠加制造业PMI强劲，支撑Nifty偏多与卖虚值Put收权利金；惟5.2%CPI黏着，宜用牛市价差控风险。

30

Mar 2026

根据2月制造业数据发布，印度工业产出增长5.2%，超出预期的4.7%

印度2月工业产出飙5.2%超预期，经济动能更强！利多Nifty/Bank Nifty与周期股；降息概率降、债券需谨慎；卢比或走强，USD/INR可偏空布局。

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