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Live Updates

31

Mar 2026

中国央行将美元/人民币中间价定为6.9194，前值6.9223，强于路透预测的6.9209

人民币中间价再强于预期：央行6.9194稳汇率态度鲜明。中美政策分化加剧，内需仍待提振；关注逆回购、MLF与RRR后续动作。

31

Mar 2026

中国央行将美元兑人民币中间价定在6.9194，较前值6.9223下调，强于路透预估的6.9209

人行再把美元/人民币中间价定得偏强，释放“稳汇率”信号。美联储偏鹰、中方需托底下，料更多靠降准与干预；期权可买美金慢涨、卖短波动。

31

Mar 2026

东京通胀放缓削弱市场对日本央行加息预期，推动日元走低，美元/日元逼近160.00水平

美元/日元反弹逼近160却止步：东京通胀走软压低日银加息预期、美元走强支撑；但日本频放话干预。关键位或剧震，宜做多波动率与对冲。

31

Mar 2026

东京通胀数据疲软削弱日本央行加息预期，日元走低，美元/日元逼近160.00水平

USD/JPY从159.3反弹逼近160却受阻：东京通胀转弱降温BoJ加息预期，美元因战事与利率预期走强；日本频发干预警告。市场转向做多波动率，跨式/宽跨式与卖虚值call、买put对冲。

31

Mar 2026

澳洲联储会议纪要暗示可能进一步收紧政策后，澳元走强，推动澳元/美元在亚洲时段逼近0.6860

澳元/美元止住五连跌靠美元回调，但RBA纪要暗示仍可能收紧、油价或推高CPI。美国利率更强硬、铁矿石走弱，政策分化扩大，汇价短线仍偏下行，留意期权避险。

31

Mar 2026

澳洲联储会议纪要暗示可能进一步收紧政策后，澳元走强，推动澳元/美元在亚洲时段逼近0.6860

AUD/USD 止跌回升至 0.6860，RBA 纪要暗示或需再收紧；但通胀降温令降息预期升温。美联储偏鹰、商品走弱，警惕澳元后续再下探。

31

Mar 2026

日本2月份失业率为2.6%，低于预期的2.7%

日本2月失业率降至2.6%引爆市场：就业强劲或逼BOJ二季转鹰，利差收窄助USD/JPY看向148；日元升值压出口股，日经或回调，宜布局日元call与日经put。

31

Mar 2026

东京通胀（剔除食品与能源）按年放缓至1.7%，低于此前的1.8%

东京3月剔除食品能源CPI降至1.7%，通胀离BoJ目标更远，Q2加息概率降，日元偏弱推高USD/JPY与日股；可考虑买USD/JPY看涨、做多日经衍生品。

31

Mar 2026

3月，日本东京年度消费者价格通胀率从1.6%放缓至1.4%

东京3月CPI同比放缓至1.4%引爆市场：核心通胀降温令日央行或延后至2026年Q2加息，日圆偏弱利多USD/JPY与日经225，低波动率看涨期权可布局。

31

Mar 2026

3月东京CPI（剔除生鲜食品）同比上升1.7%，低于预测的1.8%水平

东京核心CPI仅升1.7%低预期，通胀放缓削弱日本央行加息迫切性。日圆或再承压、收益率趋回落；出口股受惠，关注日经期货与美元/日圆期权。

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