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Live Updates

1

Apr 2026

荷兰合作银行Michael Every称，澳洲联储会议纪要提及中东局势不确定性，在油价通胀风险下令利率前景蒙上阴影

中东冲突推高油价不确定性，RBA难判现金利率方向。若油价近100美元，Q2总体CPI或重返5%。内部分歧加深，利率期货宜买波动；工资4.2%与澳元区间机会并存。

1

Apr 2026

德国联邦统计局（Destatis）报告：2月德国零售销售环比下降0.6%，与预期的0.2%增长相反

德国2月零售销售意外连跌：环比-0.6%远逊预期+0.2%，1月下修至-1.1%；同比仅+0.7%。数据出炉欧元反应平淡，EUR/USD微升至1.1470。

1

Apr 2026

美元/加元连续第七个交易日上涨，升至2026年1.3945后企稳于1.3920上方

美元/加元连涨七日逼近高位，但特朗普或尽快结束伊朗战事与美联储偏鸽压低收益率，令避险降温、隐波飙升；想抓“大行情”，期权跨式成焦点。

1

Apr 2026

丹斯克银行预计日本通胀将上升，提振日本央行4月加息前景

东京核心CPI仅升1.7%低预期，补贴压通胀；但油价与弱日元或再推升。市场押注BOJ 4月70%加息，关注Tankan与日元、利率、日经对冲机会。

1

Apr 2026

白银企稳于72美元上方，从73美元中段高位回落；跌破100日均线后空头主导

白银冲高73后回落，反弹或成逢高卖出机会：75美元（100日SMA）成关键天花板，跌破67.85恐下探63。美元走强、资金撤离加剧偏空。

1

Apr 2026

渣打称日本央行通胀已达目标；美元/日元逼近160，提前加息可能性升高

美元/日元逼近160关键位：日本潜在通胀达标、产出缺口转正，BoJ提前加息风险升温。曲线熊陡、波动或急扩；掉期仍押注2026前两次加息偏难。

1

Apr 2026

荷兰合作银行Michael Every称，澳洲联储会议纪要提及中东不确定性，在油价通胀风险下令利率前景蒙上阴影

中东冲突与油价成RBA最大变数：若油价守100美元，澳洲CPI料冲5%。多数官员偏向再收紧，但滞胀隐忧、工资仍4.2%，澳元恐陷区间震荡。

1

Apr 2026

德国联邦统计局（Destatis）报告：2月德国零售销售环比下降0.6%，与市场预期的增长0.2%相悖

德国2月零售意外环比跌0.6%、1月再下修，同比仅增0.7%。欧元短线淡定但增长转弱或逼ECB更鸽。交易员可用EUR/USD看跌期权对冲。

1

Apr 2026

美元/加元连续第七个交易日上行，2026年触及1.3945后企稳于1.3920上方

美元/加元连涨七日守稳1.3920，地缘与鸽派美联储拉扯令波动飙升。期权隐波见高位，跨式对冲成焦点；油价高企却难挺加元。

1

Apr 2026

丹斯克银行预计日本通胀将回升，提升日本央行4月加息前景

东京核心CPI放缓至1.7%，燃油补贴压通胀；剔除燃料也降温。油价升、日元弱仍逼近BOJ 4月加息（70%）。留意Tankan与日经、汇率对冲机会。

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