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Live Updates

2

Apr 2026

欧洲交易时段，特朗普呼吁与伊朗和平改善市场情绪，澳元兑其他主要货币走强

澳元走强，受特朗普愿结束对伊朗行动提振风险情绪；但霍尔木兹与高油价仍压通胀。RBA转鸽，交易改抓波动与期权对冲。

2

Apr 2026

意大利工业销售按年（未季调）降至-1%，低于此前的3.6%

意大利1月工业销售同比转跌1%，较前值3.6%急挫，欧元区放缓警报再响！关注FTSE MIB与EURO STOXX 50偏空对冲，VSTOXX或冲破22，欧元恐再失守1.07。

2

Apr 2026

欧洲交易时段，特朗普呼吁伊朗和平带动市场情绪改善，澳元兑主要货币走强

澳元随风险情绪回暖走强，澳美升至0.6865。特朗普称愿停伊战缓和避险，但霍尔木兹与油价仍悬。RBA前景不明，策略转向做波动、期权跨式。

2

Apr 2026

渣打称，日本央行指标显示通胀达标且产出缺口转正，为进一步收紧政策提供支持

日本底层通胀逼近/超2%，产出缺口自2022转正，为日央行续升息加码。但市场押注2026两次升息或过激；紧缩更慢，日圆与短债上行受限。

2

Apr 2026

克里斯·特纳预计：油价突破100美元、地缘紧张缓和且美联储释放降息信号，美元将走弱

美油突破100美元、中东降温憧憬升温，叠加美联储偏鸽重燃年底降息定价，美元或承压；JOLTS强、信心弱添分歧，月末再平衡或加剧抛压。

2

Apr 2026

美元兑韩元在韩元走弱之际升至约1,536创17年新高，韩国央行密切关注市场动态

惊！USD/KRW飙至1529、盘中破1536创2009高位，主因韩元遭抛售非美元走强。韩央行警告“羊群效应”或干预，方向多头风险升；期权买波动、长跨式更吸引。

2

Apr 2026

欧元区核心HICP月度通胀率3月报0.8%，显示潜在价格压力保持稳定

欧元区3月核心HICP环比飙0.8%远超预期，通胀黏性再现，迫使市场重估ECB：降息或延后甚至再加息。欧元偏强、股市承压，利率互换与期权对冲升温。

2

Apr 2026

意大利3月欧盟协调口径年度消费者通胀维持在1.5%，与前值持平

意大利3月欧盟口径CPI维持1.5%：欧元区通胀受控，ECB 4月或偏鸽，利率或下行。布局EURIBOR期货、EUR/USD看跌期权，关注MIB与Euro Stoxx 50受益。

2

Apr 2026

意大利3月通胀数据出炉：消费者物价同比升至1.7%，高于前值1.5%

意大利3月CPI回升至1.7%引爆市场：ECB降息更谨慎，BTP收益率逼近3.90%、利差走阔；MIB承压、期权波动升；欧元走强，EUR/USD或试1.10。

2

Apr 2026

意大利与欧盟统一的月度消费者价格指数升至1.6%，高于此前的0.5%

意大利3月欧盟口径CPI环比猛涨1.6%震撼市场，通胀降温叙事受挫：押注ECB降息需重算。策略偏向利率更高更久、对冲欧股回调，并布局欧元走强。

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