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Live Updates

7

Apr 2026

在市场憧憬中东停火之际，美元走软提振纽元兑美元在新西兰联储决议前逼近0.5710

美元走弱+中东停火憧憬推升风险偏好，纽美守0.5710。美债收益率与ISM拖累美元，焦点转向RBNZ与美国通胀；政策分歧支撑纽元看涨期权。

7

Apr 2026

美元/瑞郎回落至0.8000阻力下方，因“双顶”忧虑一度下探0.7900后，现交投于0.7979附近

冲不过0.8000，美元/瑞郎回落0.7900附近，双顶隐忧升温。若跌破0.7970趋势线，恐探0.7950以下，关注200日SMA 0.7940与20日SMA 0.7909。

7

Apr 2026

停火谈判提振市场情绪，道指收市后微升0.3%，收报近46,500点

非农超预期促美股假期后反弹：道指涨0.3%、标普0.4%、纳指0.5%。就业强、服务业成本升，Fed降息预期降温；油价受霍尔木兹变数震荡，聚焦PCE与CPI。

7

Apr 2026

美元/瑞郎自0.8000阻力回落，交投于0.7979附近，双顶形态威胁下行趋势

美元/瑞郎冲破0.9150！SNB鸽派降息、瑞士通胀1.4%低于目标；美联储偏鹰与就业强劲拉大利差。期权可用Call或牛市价差，看跌Put对冲0.9080波动风险。

7

Apr 2026

停火谈判取得进展提振投资者情绪，道指在触及高位后上扬0.3%至约46,500点

美股假期后反弹，道指升0.3%。3月非农增17.8万、时薪降温；服务业扩张但成本飙升，油价破112美元。市场紧盯GDP、PCE与CPI，利率料高位维持。

7

Apr 2026

停火希望缓和特朗普对霍尔木兹的警告，推动美元指数（DXY）逼近100点；油价仍处高位，金价持稳

霍尔木兹海峡“最后通牒”引爆避险：DXY逼近100、油价守112上方。ISM服务业降温但成本飙升，通胀忧虑回潮；欧元英镑反弹、日元守160，金价观望。

7

Apr 2026

大华银行研究：受能源成本推动，越南CPI同比升至4.65%，突破越南国家银行4.5%目标

越南3月CPI飙至4.65%超央行4.5%目标，能源推升供给型通胀；UOB料SBV利率仍守4.50%。关注VND掉期收固定、买USD/VND NDF与VN指数看涨机会。

7

Apr 2026

在油价高企、金价持稳之际，随着市场对伊朗停火的乐观情绪升温，美元指数逼近100点

美元指数回落逼近100，停火憧憬降温避险；ISM服务业放缓但成本飙升。油价守112受霍尔木兹风险撑盘，黄金企稳；本周聚焦RBNZ、PCE与CPI。

7

Apr 2026

大华银行研究报告称，越南2026年3月CPI同比升至4.65%，突破越南国家银行4.5%目标

越南3月CPI跳升至4.65%超央行目标，主因能源与供给成本。UOB料SBV再融资利率守4.5%不加息；短端利率或下行，越南盾承压、USD/VND波动或放大。

7

Apr 2026

随着特朗普最后期限临近，WTI现货与5月期货剧烈波动；5月合约一度逼近115美元，回落至112美元

WTI期货冲破115美元后回落，现货104美元逆价差加深。特朗普扬言若霍尔木兹不重开将打击伊朗，风险溢价推高。方向难押，宜用期权策略控风险。

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