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Live Updates

10

Apr 2026

美国四周期国库券拍卖收益率降至3.56%，低于此前的3.62%

4周T-bill拍卖收益率降至3.56%，避险资金涌入！疲弱非农与核心CPI回落，市场提前押注美联储更早降息，短端利率走低行情或延续。

10

Apr 2026

杰夫·余称，尽管停火后风险情绪改善，欧洲市场仍高估欧洲央行、英伦银行及瑞士央行的加息预期

停火+油价暴跌引爆欧利率重定价：虽下调，市场仍对ECB/BoE/SNB押注过度升息（BoE+80bp、ECB+50bp、SNB仍>0%）。机会：收固定、押降息期权。

10

Apr 2026

黄金横盘整理，投资者保持谨慎，关注中东市场美国与伊朗停火进展不明

金价冲高后回落至4,750美元附近，美伊停火再起波澜牵动避险。油价反弹加剧通胀不确定，CPI前市场押注波动：跨式/宽跨式布局，上破4,915看涨，跌破4,674转弱。

10

Apr 2026

ING策略师表示，在有关伊朗违反停火的指控传出后，美元走势趋稳，但可能再次走弱

停火疑遭破坏、Fed纪要偏鹰，美元止跌回稳；互换利率年底仅押7bp降息。地缘与通胀黏性令波动升温，买USD/JPY跨式捕捉大行情。

10

Apr 2026

欧元/美元走高，美元走软，交易员关注美国CPI及美伊谈判进展

欧元/美元连涨逼近1.1676！美伊停火后美元仍弱、DXY徘徊98.9。美数据影响有限，市场押注周五CPI与周六会谈，停火能否维持成焦点。

10

Apr 2026

Meta Platforms 的艾略特波浪回顾：重访蓝盒支撑，预期价格反应已开始出现

Meta 回踩蓝框支撑后强势反弹，(II)浪或已结束。关键防线520.26不破，上行空间仍在；适合偏多衍生品：卖价外Put信用价差或买Call借方价差。

10

Apr 2026

丰业银行：英镑兑美元反弹后进入盘整，英伦银行讲话与数据公布前国内风险有限

英镑兑美元反弹后转入盘整，地缘政治溢价降温或助续强。技术面偏多，RSI破50；升越50/200日均线，目标1.35-1.3580，阻力1.3480。短线区间1.3350-1.3450。

10

Apr 2026

美国能源信息署（EIA）报告称，美国天然气库存于4月初增加500亿立方英尺，超出市场预期的410亿立方英尺

EIA：截至4月3日美国天然气库存增50B，远超预期41B与五年均值22B；产量104Bcf/日压制需求，偏空拖累近月期货，反弹恐成卖点。

10

Apr 2026

BEA第三次估计显示，美国2025年第四季实际GDP按年率增长0.5%，低于0.7%预期

美国2025年Q4实际GDP终值仅0.5%，低于预期与前值；投资下修成主因。政府支出、出口走弱更警惕。VIX虽低，或触发波动，考虑保护性认沽对冲、关注出口敏感板块做空。

10

Apr 2026

跌至0.870后，欧元/英镑或仅再小幅下行；股市走高之际，英镑风险仍挥之不去

EUR/GBP跌破0.870后或难再深跌；英股走强撑镑。ING指欧元利率预期偏“黏”，BoE或更鸽派重定价，料本季回升0.880，期权布局可控风险。

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