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10

Apr 2026

美元/日元升向20日均线，但随着风险偏好回升而回落，交投于158.99附近

美元/日元冲高测试20天均线159.19后回落，近似头肩顶成形，RSI走弱。失守158.48或下看157.88/157.35；反弹近160恐遇阻并引发日方关注。

10

Apr 2026

在地缘政治支撑及美联储谨慎指引下，美元维持强势，NZD/USD在上涨后守住0.5860附近

纽美四连涨后0.5860横盘，地缘风险+美联储偏鹰撑美元压纽元。纽央行立场掣肘、经济偏弱。策略：0.58看跌期权+0.595卖虚值看涨，博回落与高波动。

10

Apr 2026

欧元/美元逼近1.1700，和平谈判希望升温与美元走软提振汇价，尽管战事仍在持续

欧元/美元升至五周高位后守1.17，美元指数回落。中东和谈曙光推高风险偏好，但油价下跌、美国CPI及就业数据搅局，技术面偏多。

10

Apr 2026

星展银行经济学家拉迪卡·拉奥指出，印尼资产出现反弹；在财政压力下，印尼盾、债券与股市剧烈波动

印尼资产剧烈波动后反弹：印尼盾回升至16,000后段，债券牛陡、股市走强。央行誓稳汇率并强力干预；关注指数审查、地缘风险与2026赤字/补贴压力。

10

Apr 2026

随着美元与美债收益率回落，金价走高，内塔尼亚胡释放对黎巴嫩谈判开放信号之际逼近4,800美元

中东谈判曙光+美元走弱，黄金周四走高逼近4,800美元。霍尔木兹航运受阻、美国增长放缓与降息预期升温，避险/保值需求推升，下一关盯5,000。

10

Apr 2026

纽约梅隆银行策略师余杰夫：冲突期间人民币充当“次级避险”资产；波动受控，并与中国国债持仓呈反向走势

冲突初期人民币抗波动领跑，或成美元后“第二层避险”。资金流从卖国债买人民币，转为人民币与国债同步净流入，外资加仓、降对冲，低波动策略更吃香。

10

Apr 2026

美国国债收益率随劳动力市场走弱而下滑，PCE通胀黏性令美元指数（DXY）下探至98.80附近

PCE通胀黏性却难撑美元：初请失业金偏高、收益率下滑拖累DXY至98.80。欧系货币反弹，油金高位震荡；今晚美国CPI成波动引爆点。

10

Apr 2026

星展银行经济学家马铁英：尽管AI驱动增长、美国关税趋缓，台湾2026年第二季展望仍面临能源冲击风险

台湾2026年“金发姑娘”行情恐变盘：AI出口放缓叠加中东冲突推升油价，CPI上修至1.9%。关注做多原油、通胀衍生品、TAIEX看跌期权对冲及美元/台币多头。

10

Apr 2026

阿根廷工业产出同比（未经季节性调整）跌至-8.7%，较此前的-3.2%进一步恶化

阿根廷2月工业产出同比暴跌8.7%，收缩加速！衰退、通胀高企与风险溢价飙至1900bp，ARS料续贬，股债承压；看跌期权、CDS与跨式策略受益波动。

10

Apr 2026

WTI原油回落，回吐先前涨幅；全球乐观情绪升温，美国与伊朗停火忧虑消退

WTI油价冲高回落至92美元附近：美伊两周停火虽缓和忧虑，但以黎冲突、伊朗威胁退约与沙特设施遇袭减产，令霍尔木兹风险再推波动。

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