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Live Updates

10

Apr 2026

欧元获支撑，市场预期欧洲央行截至4月下旬加息空间有限，但年底前仍可能进一步上升

押注欧央行：4月底仅6bp、年底仍约55bp加息，6月/9月最关键。通胀顽固令预期难降，欧元或跑赢日圆瑞郎；欧元兑美元料1.0850企稳。

10

Apr 2026

瑞银经济学家保罗·多诺万称：3月美国通胀显示战争成本挤压消费者，加剧负担能力压力

美国3月CPI揭示“买不起”成市场最大隐忧：食物油价推高通胀感受，储蓄率降至3.8%挤压可选消费。政治干预或加剧波动，期权策略需更谨慎。

10

Apr 2026

大华银行经济学家称澳元/美元突破区间，上看0.7135，0.7000提供强劲支撑

AUD/USD曾冲破0.7100，0.7135成阻力、0.7000属强撑；如今回到0.6650陷双向拉扯。通胀与利差随时反转，期权跨式/买涨买跌控波动风险。

10

Apr 2026

美元走强拖累金价跌破4,750美元，美伊谈判与美国CPI成市场焦点

黄金守在4,750美元下方等待美国CPI，跌势有限。油价与中东风险推升通胀预期、美元偏强压金；技术阻力4,850–4,883。区间震荡可用铁鹰/宽跨赚时间价值。

10

Apr 2026

德国商业银行分析师预计，在2月通胀回升之后，3月通胀将进一步上升，为巴西偏鹰派的雷亚尔提供支撑

巴西通胀回升且预期上调，核心也抬头；央行降息或放慢、语气转鹰，雷亚尔走强、美元/雷亚尔料守4.95。期权卖波动、利率押宽松放慢成新机会。

10

Apr 2026

随着霍尔木兹海峡通行限制收紧、伊朗脆弱停火进一步承压，WTI原油攀向每桶93美元

油价连涨，WTI逼近93美元：霍尔木兹海峡通行近似封锁，航船骤降令伊朗停火承压；美伊谈判悬而未决，叠加美国CPI或促加息预期升温。

10

Apr 2026

ING的Francesco Pesole表示，美元在99下方徘徊，易受通胀及中东和平风险影响

美元指数守在104.5偏强、未破99，关键看美国3月CPI与核心通胀黏性。中东若长期停火、霍尔木兹恢复，美元或回调；否则避险支撑，波动交易当道。

10

Apr 2026

美元/加元反弹至1.3833附近，从1.3805低点回升，在连跌四日后买盘回流

美元/加元止跌反弹，美元受美伊会谈与霍尔木兹海峡预期支撑。焦点转向美国CPI与加拿大就业；通胀顽固推迟降息，技术面关注1.38支撑与1.387阻力。

10

Apr 2026

接近112.50，受避险情绪升温及中国3月CPI公布后澳元持续走弱影响，澳元/日元下跌

AUD/JPY四连涨后回吐至112.50。中国3月CPI低预期拖累澳元；避险升温、BoJ 4月加息预期推高日元。关注111.80支撑，布局看跌期权对冲。

10

Apr 2026

中东紧张局势升温之际，英镑/日元连涨五个交易日创两个月新高，逼近214.00

GBP/JPY连涨五日触及213.85两个月高位。霍尔木兹风险拖累日元，日本能源依赖放大冲击；英日巨大利差支撑套利，回调或成加仓机会。

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