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Live Updates

14

Apr 2026

大华银行策略师称澳元兑美元反弹后涨势过度延伸，或测试0.7120但在0.7155料遇阻

AUD/USD急弹破区间，短线“拉伸过度”或试0.7120；上阻0.7155动能不足。守0.7030关键支撑，失守恐再探0.6850/70，甚至0.6765。

14

Apr 2026

豪瑟的滞胀警告拖累澳元跌至多数同类货币之下，仅跑赢美元

RBA副行长警告能源扰动与高通胀或引发“滞胀噩梦”，澳元承压走弱。油价飙升、增长放缓推升波动率与空头增仓；反弹或成布局看跌良机。

14

Apr 2026

德意志银行称，标普500指数已收复袭击前水平，市场预期局势降温，并可能举行美伊会谈

标普500强势收复袭击前水平，资金押注冲突短暂、或促美伊谈判；布油回落缓解滞胀忧虑，VIX大跌令对冲更便宜，周期股续领涨。

14

Apr 2026

欧元连续第七个交易日走强，受美伊谈判希望提振，兑美元升向1.1800

欧元兑美元连涨七日重返1.1700上方，触及1.1790战后新高！美伊或重启谈判推升风险偏好；关注美国PPI与ECB讯号，RSI偏热，阻力1.1825。

14

Apr 2026

德国商业银行称：在政权更迭希望与欧盟关系改善提振下，匈牙利福林跑赢区域同业

福林一年称霸区域货币，反对党蒂萨胜选夺“超级多数”引爆涨势。市场押注欧盟关系修复、200亿欧元资金解冻，策略做空EUR/HUF、USD/HUF；期权虽贵，趋势或更猛。

14

Apr 2026

路透社报道：美伊谈判代表料将重返伊斯兰堡重启和谈，此前周末会谈陷入僵局

美伊或周末再谈，油市先震：WTI急挫至91.5。OVX飙破42显著升温。突破恐探85，破裂或返100；交易者可用跨式、认沽/认购布局。

14

Apr 2026

路透社报道，美伊谈判代表或于本周重返伊斯兰堡，此前周末首轮会谈未有定论

美伊或本周重返伊斯兰堡谈判，首轮未破局。消息即压WTI，市场对地缘政治敏感。OVX约35、OPEC+延长减产支撑，宜用期权长跨式或买涨/买跌控风险。

14

Apr 2026

3月，西班牙经调和的月度消费者物价指数上升1.7%，高于预期的1.5%

西班牙3月HICP升1.7%高于预期，通胀更黏：ECB降息或推迟且更保守。利好欧元、压制股市；债券收益率趋升，建议减宽松押注。

14

Apr 2026

3月西班牙月度CPI上涨1.2%，高于预期的1%，通胀升幅超出预期

西班牙3月CPI环比升1.2%超预期，通胀更黏推迟ECB降息；6月降息概率跌破40%。欧元或走强，可布局短期欧元/美元看涨期权；欧股、德债期货承压。

14

Apr 2026

市场对美伊战争迅速解决的乐观情绪推动美元跌至六周低点

美元指数跌破98.50创低，市场聚焦美国3月PPI与央行官员讲话；特朗普称封锁霍尔木兹、伊朗核谈判再起波澜，避险情绪或改写汇市走势。

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