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Live Updates

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：英国经济增长停滞、降息在即，投机客加码做空英镑净头寸

英镑空头警报拉响：CFTC 显示非商业净空从 -58.7k 扩至 -82.6k。英国增长疲弱、降息预期升温或压制汇价；关注 GBP/USD 看跌/空单与 PMI 风险。

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示，投机者加深标普500指数期货净空头持仓

投机资金在押注美股下跌？CFTC数据显示：标普500期货非商业净持仓从-100.5k降至-133.2k，净空头加深，市场情绪更偏谨慎。

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机性日元多头减少，美元/日元均值回归风险升温

CFTC：日元非商业净多头由120.4k骤降至72k，投机撤退40%！多头动能转弱、日元升压缓和；利差仍大，USD/JPY或迎2%-4%反弹，关注卖Call/Put价差。

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示，随着原油获得支撑，投机者增加原油净多头仓位

CFTC：原油投机净多头升至14.11万手，资金回流凸显支撑位企稳。持仓仍低于五年均值，上行空间在；可关注牛市看涨价差，严设止损应对宏观突变。

26

Sep 2026

法国兴业银行：习近平访美促贸易休战延长至明年1月，人民币波动料加剧

习近平访美难掀行情：休战仅延长至1月、关税无下调。美元/人民币跌破6.70后反弹，受美债收益率与央行松绑支撑；利率按兵不动，期权、掉期布局升温。

26

Sep 2026

哈马克称美联储使命保持一致，住房感受政策约束且通胀仍处于高位

哈马克称联储双重使命一致，货币政策未全面抑制经济，住房受压；高通胀推升成本与工资压力但预期仍稳。债券收益率受增长、政策与AI融资拉动，财政路径恐不可持续。

26

Sep 2026

美元/新元维持在1.2800附近，市场押注金管局收紧政策支撑新元走势

USD/SGD 稳守1.2800区间整固，MAS收紧预期撑新元；关注1.2835阻力与1.2770强支撑。衍生品可用牛市价差/短期calls捕捉上冲，或卖put收权利金。

26

Sep 2026

美元触及两个月高位，国债收益率上升且市场消化美联储进一步收紧政策预期

美债收益率跳升带动美元指数两个月新高，突破101并扭转跌势。市场押注美联储年内再收紧、数据偏强；但CFTC净多头回落，警惕反转。

26

Sep 2026

欧洲央行委员武伊契奇释放收紧周期信号：高企柴油价格或推升欧元区通胀与利率

欧央行副行长称紧缩周期启动，能源久高添变数；柴油溢价恐再推通胀黏性。市场或重估高利率更久：做空3个月Euribor、买put与payer swaption对冲。

26

Sep 2026

亚洲外汇走软，受油价走高、美国国债收益率上升及假期流动性偏淡影响；印尼盾领跌

油价与美债息高企拖累风险情绪，亚洲货币普遍走软：IDR领跌，RMB动能转弱。假期致流动性极薄，波动或飙；可考虑做多波动、买USD/CNH看涨期权。

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