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Live Updates

25

Aug 2026

特朗普称美国海军已清除霍尔木兹海峡水雷，油价风险溢价回落，波动率交易降温

霍尔木兹“清雷”确认，油市紧绷或解压：地缘风险溢价料回落5-10美元。策略上可押注波动率挤压，卖OTM看涨或做WTI熊价差，并用铁鹰控风险。

25

Aug 2026

美元/日元维持窄幅区间，日本央行9月收紧押注升温，日元表现落后于G10货币同侪

美元兑日圆陷158-159.5窄幅，日圆跑输G10。大行推迟BoJ收紧至9月，市场仅计20bp，预期上修空间大；现阶段买日圆看涨/跨式，押158破位与会议鹰派波动。

25

Aug 2026

欧元/美元守住1.16中段，德国IFO与GDP表现稳健；市场计入欧洲央行加息，上行空间受限

德IFO与GDP胜预期助欧元站稳1.16，但已略高估且加息几乎定价；1.17遇阻、RSI近超买，或回测1.1650/1.1600，宜区间策略。

25

Aug 2026

欧元/美元走强，美元维持疲弱，德国数据提振欧元，PCE与杰克逊霍尔年会前市场观望

欧元兑美元小幅走高、美元受财政忧虑压制，德数据强劲提振欧元。聚焦PCE与杰克逊霍尔讲话；策略：买EUR/USD看涨、事件前跨式，放空DXY并布局DAX期权。

25

Aug 2026

美国房价指数停滞，升息预期降温助长降息押注并施压美元

美国6月房价指数环比0%，低于预期0.2%，房市动能骤停。住房通胀降温或减轻美联储维持高利率压力：做多短债期货、买房建商ETF看涨期权、做空DXY。

25

Aug 2026

美国Case-Shiller房价指数优于预期，强化通胀粘性与美联储审慎立场

美国6月Case-Shiller房价同比升2.1%爆冷胜预期，房市韧性令核心通胀更粘，美联储降息更谨慎；美债收益率与美元或走强，房建股短压。

25

Aug 2026

欧元/美元因德国Ifo数据意外走强，市场押注欧洲央行加息提振欧元，关注1.1800阻力位

德国IFO飙升推升欧元，但EUR/USD仍卡1.1700。ECB 9月加息预期95%对比Fed转鸽，利差利多欧元，关注1.1800阻力与1.1632止损，期权可布局看涨。

25

Aug 2026

美元走强及ETF资金流入影响前景，金价自三个月高位回落

金价触及4,697美元后回落至4,635，美元走强压制短线。惟黄金ETF年内净流入213亿支撑强势，多头趋势未破；建议逢低布局期权/期货，关注杰克逊霍尔与制裁催化波动。

25

Aug 2026

美元走软推升金价触及三个月高位；PCE数据与沃什演讲左右利率预期

金价冲上逾三个月高后回吐，美元走弱仍托底。PCE与沃什讲话成关键：偏鸽利多破4,650；偏鹰恐失守4,600，回调看4,480。

25

Aug 2026

美元波动令澳元/美元、黄金和美元/加元持续受关注，市场静待CPI、PCE及英伟达财报

美债干预搅动美元信心，AUD/USD主打回调逢低买；明日澳洲CPI与美PCE、GDP恐引爆波动。黄金强韧、USD/CAD看贸易，英伟达财报或再掀风暴。

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