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Live Updates

2

Mar 2026

美元/加元在1.3650上方交投于1.3660附近，受中东紧张局势下避险美元需求提振

中东战火升级推升避险美元，USD/CAD守在1.3650上方；霍尔木兹受阻油价跳涨或撑加元限制上行，市场紧盯ISM制造业PMI与降息声。

2

Mar 2026

日本央行副行长冰见野表示，如果潜在通胀加速达到目标，利率可能会上升至中性水平

即使日本通胀跌破2%，日本央行仍可能加息至中性水平！关键看潜在通胀是否加速达标；宽松环境推升股房但暂未触发政策担忧。美元/日元升至157。

2

Mar 2026

2月荷兰制造业PMI从50.1升至50.8，表明工厂经营状况改善

荷兰2月制造业PMI升至50.8，扩张动能增强：利多AEX盈利与指数上行。欧元与EUR/USD也获支撑，欧洲央行降息预期或过头，利率期货需重估。

2

Mar 2026

2月，澳大利亚央行（RBA）大宗商品指数（SDR）同比升至2.7%，高于2.6%

RBA大宗商品指数2月同比升至2.7%，释放出口韧性信号；中国需求企稳、铁矿石站上125美元支撑澳元与材料股。关注AUD/USD看涨与ASX200机会。

2

Mar 2026

在美元需求回升之际，XAG/USD在欧洲早盘回落至93.75美元附近，市场关注美伊紧张局势

白银欧洲早盘回落至93.75美元，美元走强与高于预期PPI施压；美伊冲突或限跌。技术仍偏多：阻力97/100，支撑82/72。盯紧中东！

2

Mar 2026

2月印度汇丰制造业PMI符合预期，维持在56.9，表明制造业持续扩张

印度2月汇丰制造业PMI达56.9、符合预期：扩张动能仍强。RBI短期或不急降息，股市偏稳适合卖虚值看跌；债券收益率或走高；卢比或区间震荡，可卖宽跨。

2

Mar 2026

能源相关压力在亚洲晚盘提振欧元/美元，但汇价仍下跌约0.25%，徘徊在1.1780附近

中东冲突引发避险，欧元兑美元反弹仍跌至1.1780；油价上行或拖累欧元区。周二欧区HICP与本周美就业、ISM数据将左右汇市走向。

2

Mar 2026

AUD/USD从0.7030跳空低点反弹，因美元在亚洲时段回落而重返0.7100

AUD/USD 周初看跌跳空后强劲反弹至 0.7100 上方，仍处区间震荡。美元受滞胀担忧走弱支撑澳元，RBA 或偏鹰；地缘风险压制。关注 ISM、GDP、ADP、非农。

2

Mar 2026

2月，印尼月度通胀率升至0.68%，扭转了此前-0.15%的下降趋势

印尼2月环比通胀从-0.15%反转至0.68%！通胀压力或促央行更鹰派：盾短期偏强、股市承压，债券收益率或上行。

2

Mar 2026

亚洲交易时段，欧元/英镑维持在0.8770附近并高于0.8750，等待德国零售销售数据公布。

欧元/英镑连涨后盘整，焦点转向德国零售。ECB因通胀与工资压力偏鹰、欧元走强；BoE降息预期压英镑。但动能或见顶，低波动下可用看跌期权对冲回落。

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