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Live Updates

4

Mar 2026

FXStreet数据显示，白银交易价格为每盎司85.64美元，较此前的82.48美元上涨3.84%

白银飙涨：XAG/USD涨至85.64美元，年内+20.48%，金银比降至60.36凸显跑赢黄金。工业需求与降息预期助推，但波动放大，谨慎追多。

4

Mar 2026

欧洲时段，欧元/美元维持在1.1600附近疲软，在HCOB PMI数据发布后延续三连跌

欧元/美元连跌至1.1600附近；欧元区PMI小升难改疲弱。美联储降息预期降温、避险与油价推升美元。政策分化或延续下行，期权对冲更划算。

4

Mar 2026

拉博银行的范赫芬称，中东冲突加剧欧元区通胀担忧，促使市场部分计入欧洲央行加息预期

中东冲突引爆能源担忧，欧元区通胀或抬升0.5个百分点至2.3%。市场转向鹰派：年底前ECB加息概率40%，油价飙升推高利率波动，交易需防上行风险。

4

Mar 2026

欧洲时段，金价维持在5200美元下方，中东紧张局势下温和涨幅未能持续

金价徘徊5200下方：中东冲突与霍尔木兹封锁推油价、抬通胀预期，美联储或更鹰支撑美元压金；技术面偏弱且波动率高，期权策略成关键。

4

Mar 2026

WTI原油上涨逼近76美元，在中东紧张局势引发买盘之际接近一年高点

突发：WTI飙至76美元，三日连涨超3%。美以伊紧张、霍尔木兹近乎关闭致供应恐慌；美元走弱支撑。波动率OVX破50，期权策略受关注。

4

Mar 2026

意大利1月失业率降至5.1%，优于预期的5.6%，表明劳动力市场状况改善

意大利1月失业率意外降至5.1%，显著好于预期与去年Q4。经济韧性或推升消费，ECB降息更谨慎。关注意股、欧元走强及意债CDS利差收窄机会。

4

Mar 2026

2月欧元区HCOB综合PMI符合预期，报51.9，表明整体商业活动温和扩张

欧元区2月综合PMI 51.9符合预期，连续4个月扩张：软着陆验证、降息更难。股债波动或偏低，欧元受支撑偏强，策略偏卖波动与谨慎做多。

4

Mar 2026

2月，欧元区HCOB服务业PMI升至51.9，略高于51.8的预期值。

欧元区2月服务业PMI 51.9略超预期，经济韧性增强、下行风险降。或促ECB延后降息、利率更久偏高：欧元获支撑，股市偏利好，波动或低。

4

Mar 2026

德国HCOB服务业PMI略高于预期，2月录得53.5，高于预期的53.4

德国2月HCOB服务业PMI升至53.5略超预期，扩张稳健。或缓解衰退担忧、降低ECB降息压力，提振欧元与欧洲股市，关注EUR/USD上破及DAX动能。

4

Mar 2026

法国2月HCOB综合PMI符合预期，为49.9，显示整体商业活动接近稳定

法国2月综合PMI 49.9贴近50，经济触底但未转强：波动或降，可卖CAC40短期期权收权利金；通胀回落强化2026降息预期，关注Euribor期货与银行股看涨，警惕服务业转弱并用Euro STOXX50看跌对冲。

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