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Live Updates

5

Mar 2026

星展银行经济学家称印尼增长保持韧性：对伊朗敞口有限、与海湾国家联系更广，以及大宗商品出口为冲击提供缓冲

中东紧张也难撼印尼：对海湾贸易占比仅3.4%，伊朗几近零。大宗商品出口与补贴改革缓冲油价冲击，资产风险或被高估，波动率与配对交易现机会。

5

Mar 2026

澳元/美元反弹至0.7077，随着美元在情绪改善、美国数据稳健之际走弱，逼近0.7080

澳元兑美元反弹至0.7077，美元走弱助推情绪回暖！RSI走高仍偏多；上破0.7122或冲0.7147/0.7200；跌破0.7000或回测0.6944/0.6904。

5

Mar 2026

风险偏好回升提振墨西哥比索，尽管中东紧张局势和强劲美国数据，美元/墨西哥比索仍下跌至17.56

USD/MXN跌至17.56，风险偏好助比索；美服务业数据强影响有限。关注Banxico降息转向、墨西哥通胀与美就业，期权布局反转，18.00/17.91成关键。

5

Mar 2026

2月，韩国外汇储备增至4276.2亿美元，高于此前的4259.1亿美元

韩国2月外汇储备升至4276.2亿美元，月增17.1亿成“护城河”。出口与半导体强劲叠加美联储或按兵不动，韩元更稳，USD/KRW波动或降。

5

Mar 2026

渣打银行的陈亨达与丁爽预计，尽管官方PMI情绪信号疲弱，中国经济数据仍将保持韧性

PMI跌破50引担忧？渣打称1—2月硬数据仍韧性：工业产出稳、零售假期回升、贸易强劲；基建托底投资企稳，地产续缩，通胀微升信贷放缓。

5

Mar 2026

美联储2026年3月《褐皮书》报告称：经济扩张不均衡、价格压力持续，五个地区持平或下滑

褐皮书揭示经济分化：7区温和增长、5区停滞下滑，通胀3.4%与工资4.1%施压。降息或偏早？更可能按兵不动，警惕股市波动，美元或占优。

5

Mar 2026

尽管美国就业和服务业数据强劲，但由于美伊冲突打压市场情绪，美元走软

美元冲高回落，ADP偏弱却难敌ISM服务业强劲与中东紧张：欧元、英镑震荡，油金飙升。今晚多项数据压轴，周五非农或引爆行情。

5

Mar 2026

随着避险需求减弱，美元指数下跌0.18%，在五周高点回落后收于98.90附近

美元指数冲高回落至98.9，地缘冲突推升油价与通胀忧虑；经济数据分化，市场紧盯非农。关键支撑97.95，阻力99.05，能否再破200日均线？

5

Mar 2026

他们评估3月纳斯达克100指数见顶的可能性不大，并引用历史上大选前年份的平均走势模式作为依据

纳指100按选前年规律与艾略特波运行：24,200目标已在24,315兑现。关键警戒位守住，则下一浪或冲26,600；短线噪音多，周月线定方向。

5

Mar 2026

在美元普遍回落之际，新西兰元推动纽元/美元上涨0.73%至0.5940

纽元/美元反弹领涨，收复50日均线至0.5940；美数据分化、非农或走弱。关注0.5920支撑与0.5990/0.6050阻力，突破即定方向。

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